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welcome to another MedCram coronavirus update you just wanted to review the
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Stars Cove e2 is the name of the virus in kovat 19 is the name of the illness
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that the virus is causing and that's an important distinction because up to this
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point the criteria for a confirmed case has been looking at the RNA using PCR
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technique and test kits specifically for this virus and what they're noticing of
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course is that they don't have enough kits to test everybody and so as a
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result of that and this has been a major push they're in Wuhan China is to look
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at something that is not as specific but is much easier much more rapidly able to
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make that assessment and that's it looking at the illness and parts of the
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illness the characteristics of the illness is an infiltrate on chest x-ray
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or CT scan so these lung scans have been central in making the determination of
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whether or not we're dealing with the virus so again moving from something
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that's very specific but takes a long time to make a diagnosis couple of days
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to confirm it versus something that's very quick but not as specific in other
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words you may catch other things in there but given the fact that there's an
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epidemic the chances of that happening are pretty low and the key here is that
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it's very fast so it looks like today they made that switch and as a result of
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that we're seeing a lot bigger in numbers let's go to the numbers 60,000
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now total confirmed cases 1369 total deaths total recovered is 6061 about
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four times the number of deaths have totally recovered and we'll show that in
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a little bit what that looks like here's the world a meter website huge jump in
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cases and that's because of the change in the definition not much probably as
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change in terms of the reality on the ground as we've been saying before this
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numbers probably been under estimating but it's been systematically under
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estimating and now we've gone from apples to oranges where this is probably
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closer to the true number because now we're looking at lung scans still
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there's probably a lot of people that haven't come into the hospital there
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could be many people outside of this testing parameter that we're not picking
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up let's keep looking here in terms of daily cases worldwide huge jump in the
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total number of cases now another graph we've been looking at here recently is
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the total cases excluding mainland China so what are things looking like and
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actually because we're not overwhelmed with the number of cases right total
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cases only 517 we can be very careful and we can do those RNA tests that are
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very specific and again here some of the smallest numbers to date as of February
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12th we'll keep watching those numbers as they go okay I want to follow up a
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little bit more on some of the things that we were talking about before and
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that is what we can do in terms of our immunity and I want to be clear about
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this some of the things that we've been talking about in terms of sleep in the
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last videos if you haven't watched this is that we don't have any randomised
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trials for specifically coronavirus everything we're going to be talking
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about has to do with what evidence do we have in terms of viruses in general or
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immunity I want that to be clear what we're looking at here is a
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methodological way of going through all of the risk factors in trying to reduce
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our risks in this kind of a situation or in this situation we don't have
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medications or vaccines and so what is it that we can do to reduce and minimize
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the risk of becoming infected and if we are infected of surviving an infection
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so one of the easy things we talked about is sleep and we made the point
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last time that by sleeping more that actually improves the immune system but
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we've got to realize that not everybody sleeps well right some people have
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insomnia the other thing that people don't realize is that if your body's not
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ready to go to sleep and you try to go to sleep and go in bed what's gonna
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happen is you're not gonna be able to sleep and they're gonna get anxiety
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because you can't sleep then you're gonna associate that with the bedroom
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and when you walk into the bedroom you're gonna get more anxious I'm not
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gonna leave all of you hanging here there are things that we can do for
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people who can sleep people who have insomnia there's many other things that
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can happen when you're trying to sleep including obstructive sleep apnea
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there's people that can't sleep because of medical problems and I'll try to
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address all of those however remember that each
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person is an individual and we're not here to give out medical advice so all
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of this needs to be reviewed with your personal physicians but there are some
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guidelines there are some things that you can do that are going to help and
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we'll be happy to go over some of those things in general so I wanted to review
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another paper that was put out to study by van coder basically what they did was
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they took some healthy men and on average they're around 23 years of age
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and there were some criteria that they had to have number one no influenza
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vaccine in the previous three years and all of them had to have a specific sleep
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routine in other words they normally went to bed between 11:00 p.m. and 1:00
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a.m. they typically woke up between 7:00 and 9:00 a.m. and their total sleep time
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was around 8 hours plus or minus 30 minutes there were about 25 of these men
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and they split them up into two groups the first group which had 11 was the
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intervention group and these are the ones that were prevented from sleeping
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and then there was another group of about 14 that were the control group
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they did something very interesting those eleven in the sleep deprivation
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group were only allowed to sleep for four hours and they did this for six
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nights whereas the control group were allowed to sleep for the eight hours for
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those same six nights then after those six nights of only four hours sleep per
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night then they were allowed to sleep for 12 hours to recover and they did
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that for seven nights here of course they were allowed to sleep again for the
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eight hours for the same seven nights what they did was they took measurements
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of antibody titers and they did it just before they were given an immunization
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so I'm gonna right here when they were given immunization was on the fourth
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night so right here fourth night
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of minimal sleep and this was an immunization against the flu vaccine
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okay so flu vaccine given there and flu vaccine given the same point over here
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and what they measured was at this point right here what was the antibody titer
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to the flu vaccine and they also measured again ten days later and then
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they measured again 21 to 30 days later so they wanted to see what the effect
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was of sleep deprivation on the body's ability to make antibodies against in
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this case the flu vaccine basically a challenge immunologically to the
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patient's immune system so even though the patient's had never had a flu shot
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before as we mentioned in the previous three years they did have antibodies
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against the flu because of course people have had the flu in the past and so
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there was no statistical significant difference here between these two so
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there was no difference and over here on the sleep deprivation side it was point
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zero seven and I'm rounding it off and over here on the control side it was
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point zero nine so there was no statistical significant difference now
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after the immunization these people here were sleep deprived these people here
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were not sleep deprived and so the question is what was the difference here
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at this points even though remember now this is 10 days in they had the ability
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of recovering some of their sleep even at 12 hours so the four days into
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recovery sleep how much would it be well the titer here in the sleep
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deprivation group was point five zero whereas the titer over here on this side
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was 1.15 it was over twice the amount now when they looked at it after about
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21 to 30 days after they had gone both back to a regular sleep schedule again
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there was no difference in terms of antibody titer so what they discovered
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was that sleep deprivation could reduce the body's ability to fight off the flu
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as measured by antibodies but that difference seemed to go away after a
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period of 21 to 30 days but please remember that they also stopped the
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sleep deprivation that they were doing so the question is what would happen is
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someone had chronic sleep deprivation okay let's look at in another study this
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one was by Cohen at all in this one this is a bigger study they took a hundred
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and fifty three patients and they were aged 21 to 55 years of age and they
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asked them about the previous 14 days of sleep and they looked at two things they
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looked at sleep duration how long were they sleeping for and they looked at
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sleep efficiency and then they put in rhinovirus one of the viruses that cause
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the common cold and they dropped in with nasal drops into their nostrils these
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drops in to infect them okay so we know exactly how much duration they sleep
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their efficiency and we're taking a hundred and fifty three of them and
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basically inducing a cold they monitored them for five days and they looked at
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the results of it two sets of results the first one had to do with a duration
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remember we looked at the duration and we looked at efficiency let's talk about
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duration first they were able to divide them into two categories those that had
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less than seven hours of sleep and those that had greater than or equal to eight
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hours of sleep in total those that had less than seven hours of sleep were
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anywhere between one point one eight and 7.30 times the likelihood of having cold
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symptoms and on average that was two point nine four so in other words based
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on the duration of sleep if you had less than seven hours you were on average two
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point nine four times more likely to develop a cold when exposed to the same
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exposure than those who slept for greater than eight hours there was
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another category and that was efficiency now efficiency sleep efficiency is
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simply the amount of time that you are asleep divided by the amount of time
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that you are in bed and they divided that into two categories those that were
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asleep greater 98% of the time versus those that were
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less than 92% of the time and what they found was that those that slept less
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than 92% of the time were 5.5 times the likelihood of getting the cold and that
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was a range of 2.0 eight to fourteen 0.48 meaning that it's not just how long
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you sleep but with efficiency you sleep with as well now when you're looking at
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statistics they noted that it was just these things duration and efficiency
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that made the difference when they look for confounders things that did not
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predict this pre-challenge antibodies did not predict it demographics the
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season of the year the BMI the socioeconomic status and their health or
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lifestyle none of those things affected whether or not they got the cold but the
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strong predictor was duration and the efficiency of sleep so I believe that
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even though these two studies are not specifically testing the 2019
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coronavirus I do believe that they do have some appropriate information for us
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in dealing with what is it that we can do right now in terms of protecting
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ourselves from the virus and realize that it's not a hundred percent you can
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still get the virus even though you sleep well just like some of these
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people got the cold even though they did sleep but it was less likely so the
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purpose of these last couple of updates was to show you the importance of sleep
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now the question is is well what can I do to make my sleep better and I think
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that's what we're going to attack in the next couple of videos is what is it that
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you can do personally if you have such and such a problem let's say you have
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difficulty falling asleep let's say you have difficulty staying asleep what are
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the things that you can do that are fairly simple and effective in making
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your sleep better let's talk about those and also update the news and the numbers
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as we go through this epidemic thanks for joining us
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you