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Hello and welcome to "The Week Ahead"
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from the Financial Times in London.
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Here are some of the big stories we'll be watching this week.
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Historic talks between the US and North Korea
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will take place when Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un
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meet in Singapore.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates
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in the US.
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The owner of the Zara fashion brand, Inditex,
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reports results.
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And the football World Cup kicks off in Russia,
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but will FIFA vote for an underdog
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to host the 2026 tournament?
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Now, just a year ago, Kim Jong Un was a pariah.
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North Korea had conducted several missile tests
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and US President Donald Trump threatened
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to respond with fire and fury.
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Until March, the North Korean dictator
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had never even been abroad on a state visit.
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But this year, things have switched to a more diplomatic
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track, and on Tuesday he's due to meet Donald
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Trump in a historic summit.
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Mr Trump wants to sign an agreement
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to denuclearize North Korea and set a new path
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for the reclusive regime.
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But what is the US likely to get out of this week's meeting?
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Here's our chief foreign affairs commentator, Gideon Rachman.
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These are two very unusual and unpredictable leaders.
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If you had two kind of normal leaders,
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it would be quite easy, I think, to sketch out
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the possible outcomes.
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It would be very hard to imagine that they would immediately
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solve the problem or come up with a breakthrough.
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With these leaders, it's possible
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that they will stray off script quite sharply
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and perhaps come up with something with surprises
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us all.
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But there's also a downside risk.
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And if the two men don't hit it off
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or if they have very different expectations,
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you could actually see a summit that goes badly wrong
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and leads to a return or even perhaps
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an increase in concerns about war that so dominated 2017.
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And now to the US, where the Federal Reserve's
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monetary policy decision is the highlight
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of a busy economic calendar this week.
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We'll get updates on inflation, manufacturing, and consumer
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sentiment in Thursday's retail sales report.
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The interest rate decision, which is on Wednesday,
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will be presented alongside updates to the Fed's
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economic and interest rate projections.
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That will be followed by a press conference
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with fed chair Jay Powell.
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A rate rise is largely considered
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a foregone conclusion, as our reporter Mamta Badkar explains.
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Markets are anticipating the second rate rise
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of the year and the seventh since 2015 amid signs
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of renewed strength in the US economy
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and as the Fed is getting a bit more confident
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about its inflation outlook.
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Now, the Fed said last month that inflation has moved closer
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to its 2% target, but noted that this is a symmetrical target,
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suggesting that modest moves above or below 2%
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will be acceptable to the Fed.
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Of note, of course, will be at the dot plot of interest rate
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projections as markets try to determine
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whether 2018 has three or four rate rises on the cards.
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Now to Spain, where Inditex, the owner of the Zara fashion
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brand, is set to report its first quarter results.
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And all eyes will be on the long troublesome gross margin
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figure.
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The world's largest clothes retailer by sales
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has for years seen slipping margins.
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This has sparked investor concerns
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about the effects of competition from online only rivals.
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And in March, the company said that gross margins
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had dropped from 57% in 2016 to 56.3% in 2017.
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That was the lowest for a decade and worse
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than analysts' expectations.
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But many analysts are saying that while gross margins may
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be down in the first quarter, there
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could be signs of stabilisation, which
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would reassure the markets.
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Inditex has long denied that online sales will lead them
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to lower margins.
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Earlier this year, it blamed the strong euro, as well as
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unseasonal weather.
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And finally, to Russia, where the football World
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Cup kicks off on Thursday.
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The host take on Saudi Arabia in the opening match in Moscow.
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But just before the big kickoff, more than 200
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of FIFA's member nations will meet
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to vote on the host for the 2026 World Cup.
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And it's a race between a powerhouse joint bid
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by the United States, Canada, and Mexico
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and an underdog bid by Morocco.
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Much to the surprise of many people
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in the world of football, Morocco could win it.
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This would be a shock because the North American
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bid is offering a projected record $11 billion of profits
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to FIFA.
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And FIFA's own inspection task force
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scored the North American bid very highly on technical merits
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and it said there were risks to hosting
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the tournament in Morocco.
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So what would it mean if Morocco pulls off a surprise victory?
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Here's our leisure correspondent, Murad Ahmed.
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It seemed to me, at least, by reading
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that report that FIFA's inspectors were saying,
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don't hold the World Cup in Morocco, at least
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in comparison to the North American bid.
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So what would it say if Morocco still won?
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It would tell you that the political horse
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trading of the past that has mired old World Cup votes
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has not disappeared, regardless of all the reforms
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that FIFA have put in place.
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And weirdly enough, a counterpoint,
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that money isn't everything, that
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in the end, the global image that you set out
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has a big part to play when it comes
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to voting on these essentially popularity contests.
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And that's what the week ahead looks like from the Financial
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Times in London.
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See you again next time.