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I grew up on a small farm in Missouri.
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We lived on less than a dollar a day
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for about 15 years.
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I got a scholarship, went to university,
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studied international agriculture, studied anthropology,
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and decided I was going to give back.
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I was going to work with small farmers.
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I was going to help alleviate poverty.
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I was going to work on international development,
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and then I took a turn
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and ended up here.
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Now, if you get a Ph.D., and you decide not to teach,
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you don't always end up in a place like this.
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It's a choice. You might end up driving a taxicab.
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You could be in New York.
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What I found was,
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I started working with refugees and famine victims --
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small farmers, all, or nearly all --
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who had been dispossessed and displaced.
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Now, what I'd been trained to do
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was methodological research on such people.
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So I did it: I found out how many women
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had been raped en route to these camps.
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I found out how many people had been put in jail,
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how many family members had been killed.
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I assessed how long they were going to stay
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and how much it would take to feed them.
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And I got really good at predicting
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how many body bags you would need
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for the people who were going to die in these camps.
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Now this is God's work, but it's not my work.
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It's not the work I set out to do.
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So I was at a Grateful Dead benefit concert on the rainforests
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in 1988.
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I met a guy -- the guy on the left.
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His name was Ben.
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He said, "What can I do to save the rainforests?"
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I said, "Well, Ben, what do you do?"
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"I make ice cream."
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So I said, "Well, you've got to make
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a rainforest ice cream.
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And you've got to use nuts from the rainforests
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to show that forests are worth more as forests
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than they are as pasture."
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He said, "Okay."
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Within a year,
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Rainforest Crunch was on the shelves.
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It was a great success.
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We did our first million-dollars-worth of trade
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by buying on 30 days and selling on 21.
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That gets your adrenaline going.
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Then we had a four and a half million-dollar line of credit
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because we were credit-worthy at that point.
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We had 15 to 20, maybe 22 percent
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of the global Brazil-nut market.
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We paid two to three times more than anybody else.
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Everybody else raised their prices to the gatherers of Brazil nuts
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because we would buy it otherwise.
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A great success.
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50 companies signed up, 200 products came out,
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generated 100 million in sales.
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It failed.
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Why did it fail?
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Because the people who were gathering Brazil nuts
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weren't the same people who were cutting the forests.
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And the people who made money from Brazil nuts
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were not the people who made money from cutting the forests.
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We were attacking the wrong driver.
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We needed to be working on beef.
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We needed to be working on lumber.
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We needed to be working on soy --
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things that we were not focused on.
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So let's go back to Sudan.
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I often talk to refugees:
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"Why was it that the West didn't realize
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that famines are caused by policies and politics,
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not by weather?"
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And this farmer said to me, one day,
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something that was very profound.
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He said, "You can't wake a person who's pretending to sleep."
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(Laughter)
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Okay. Fast forward.
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We live on a planet.
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There's just one of them.
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We've got to wake up to the fact
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that we don't have any more
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and that this is a finite planet.
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We know the limits of the resources we have.
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We may be able to use them differently.
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We may have some innovative, new ideas.
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But in general, this is what we've got.
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There's no more of it.
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There's a basic equation that we can't get away from.
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Population times consumption
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has got to have some kind of relationship to the planet,
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and right now, it's a simple "not equal."
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Our work shows that we're living
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at about 1.3 planets.
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Since 1990,
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we crossed the line
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of being in a sustainable relationship to the planet.
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Now we're at 1.3.
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If we were farmers, we'd be eating our seed.
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For bankers, we'd be living off the principal, not the interest.
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This is where we stand today.
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A lot of people like to point
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to some place else as the cause of the problem.
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It's always population growth.
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Population growth's important,
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but it's also about how much each person consumes.
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So when the average American
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consumes 43 times as much
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as the average African,
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we've got to think that consumption is an issue.
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It's not just about population,
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and it's not just about them; it's about us.
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But it's not just about people;
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it's about lifestyles.
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There's very good evidence --
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again, we don't necessarily have
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a peer-reviewed methodology
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that's bulletproof yet --
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but there's very good evidence
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that the average cat in Europe
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has a larger environmental footprint in its lifetime
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than the average African.
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You think that's not an issue going forward?
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You think that's not a question
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as to how we should be using the Earth's resources?
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Let's go back and visit our equation.
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In 2000, we had six billion people on the planet.
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They were consuming what they were consuming --
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let's say one unit of consumption each.
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We have six billion units of consumption.
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By 2050,
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we're going to have nine billion people -- all the scientists agree.
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They're all going to consume twice as much as they currently do --
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scientists, again, agree --
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because income is going to grow in developing countries
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five times what it is today --
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on global average, about [2.9].
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So we're going to have 18 billion units of consumption.
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Who have you heard talking lately
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that's said we have to triple production
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of goods and services?
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But that's what the math says.
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We're not going to be able to do that.
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We can get productivity up.
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We can get efficiency up.
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But we've also got to get consumption down.
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We need to use less
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to make more.
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And then we need to use less again.
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And then we need to consume less.
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All of those things are part of that equation.
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But it basically raises a fundamental question:
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should consumers have a choice
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about sustainability, about sustainable products?
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Should you be able to buy a product that's sustainable
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sitting next to one that isn't,
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or should all the products on the shelf be sustainable?
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If they should all be sustainable on a finite planet,
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how do you make that happen?
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The average consumer takes 1.8 seconds in the U.S.
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Okay, so let's be generous.
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Let's say it's 3.5 seconds in Europe.
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How do you evaluate all the scientific data
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around a product,
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the data that's changing on a weekly, if not a daily, basis?
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How do you get informed?
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You don't.
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Here's a little question.
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From a greenhouse gas perspective,
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is lamb produced in the U.K.
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better than lamb produced in New Zealand,
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frozen and shipped to the U.K.?
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Is a bad feeder lot operation for beef
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better or worse than
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a bad grazing operation for beef?
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Do organic potatoes
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actually have fewer toxic chemicals
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used to produce them
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than conventional potatoes?
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In every single case,
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the answer is "it depends."
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It depends on who produced it and how,
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in every single instance.
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And there are many others.
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How is a consumer going to walk through this minefield?
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They're not.
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They may have a lot of opinions about it,
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but they're not going to be terribly informed.
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Sustainability has got to be a pre-competitive issue.
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It's got to be something we all care about.
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And we need collusion.
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We need groups to work together that never have.
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We need Cargill to work with Bunge.
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We need Coke to work with Pepsi.
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We need Oxford to work with Cambridge.
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We need Greenpeace to work with WWF.
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Everybody's got to work together --
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China and the U.S.
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We need to begin to manage this planet
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as if our life depended on it,
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because it does,
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it fundamentally does.
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But we can't do everything.
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Even if we get everybody working on it,
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we've got to be strategic.
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We need to focus on the where,
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the what and the who.
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So, the where:
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We've identified 35 places globally that we need to work.
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These are the places that are the richest in biodiversity
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and the most important from an ecosystem function point-of-view.
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We have to work in these places.
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We have to save these places if we want a chance in hell
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of preserving biodiversity as we know it.
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We looked at the threats to these places.
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These are the 15 commodities
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that fundamentally pose the biggest threats
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to these places
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because of deforestation,
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soil loss, water use, pesticide use,
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over-fishing, etc.
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So we've got 35 places,
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we've got 15 priority commodities,
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who do we work with
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to change the way those commodities are produced?
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Are we going to work with 6.9 billion consumers?
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Let's see, that's about 7,000 languages,
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350 major languages --
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a lot of work there.
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I don't see anybody actually being able
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to do that very effectively.
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Are we going to work with 1.5 billion producers?
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Again, a daunting task.
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There must be a better way.
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300 to 500 companies
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control 70 percent or more
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of the trade of each of the 15 commodities
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that we've identified as the most significant.
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If we work with those, if we change those companies
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and the way they do business,
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then the rest will happen automatically.
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So, we went through our 15 commodities.
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This is nine of them.
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We lined them up side-by-side,
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and we put the names of the companies that work
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on each of those.
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And if you go through the first 25 or 30 names
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of each of the commodities,
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what you begin to see is,
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gosh, there's Cargill here, there's Cargill there,
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there's Cargill everywhere.
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In fact, these names start coming up over and over again.