Subtitles section Play video
-
The technology likely to have the greatest impact
-
on the next few decades
-
has arrived.
-
And it's not social media.
-
It's not big data.
-
It's not robotics.
-
It's not even AI.
-
You'll be surprised to learn
-
that it's the underlying technology of digital currencies like Bitcoin.
-
It's called the blockchain. Blockchain.
-
Now, it's not the most sonorous word in the world,
-
but I believe that this is now
-
the next generation of the internet,
-
and that it holds vast promise for every business, every society
-
and for all of you, individually.
-
You know, for the past few decades, we've had the internet of information.
-
And when I send you an email or a PowerPoint file or something,
-
I'm actually not sending you the original,
-
I'm sending you a copy.
-
And that's great.
-
This is democratized information.
-
But when it comes to assets --
-
things like money,
-
financial assets like stocks and bonds,
-
loyalty points, intellectual property,
-
music, art, a vote,
-
carbon credit and other assets --
-
sending you a copy is a really bad idea.
-
If I send you 100 dollars,
-
it's really important that I don't still have the money --
-
(Laughter)
-
and that I can't send it to you.
-
This has been called the "double-spend" problem
-
by cryptographers for a long time.
-
So today, we rely entirely on big intermediaries --
-
middlemen like banks, government,
-
big social media companies, credit card companies and so on --
-
to establish trust in our economy.
-
And these intermediaries perform all the business and transaction logic
-
of every kind of commerce,
-
from authentication, identification of people,
-
through to clearing, settling and record keeping.
-
And overall, they do a pretty good job.
-
But there are growing problems.
-
To begin, they're centralized.
-
That means they can be hacked, and increasingly are --
-
JP Morgan, the US Federal Government,
-
LinkedIn, Home Depot and others
-
found that out the hard way.
-
They exclude billions of people from the global economy,
-
for example, people who don't have enough money
-
to have a bank account.
-
They slow things down.
-
It can take a second for an email to go around the world,
-
but it can take days or weeks
-
for money to move through the banking system across a city.
-
And they take a big piece of the action --
-
10 to 20 percent just to send money to another country.
-
They capture our data,
-
and that means we can't monetize it
-
or use it to better manage our lives.
-
Our privacy is being undermined.
-
And the biggest problem is that overall,
-
they've appropriated the largesse of the digital age asymmetrically:
-
we have wealth creation, but we have growing social inequality.
-
So what if there were not only an internet of information,
-
what if there were an internet of value --
-
some kind of vast, global, distributed ledger
-
running on millions of computers
-
and available to everybody.
-
And where every kind of asset, from money to music,
-
could be stored, moved, transacted, exchanged and managed,
-
all without powerful intermediaries?
-
What if there were a native medium for value?
-
Well, in 2008, the financial industry crashed
-
and, perhaps propitiously,
-
an anonymous person or persons named Satoshi Nakamoto
-
created a paper where he developed a protocol for a digital cash
-
that used an underlying cryptocurrency called Bitcoin.
-
And this cryptocurrency enabled people to establish trust and do transactions
-
without a third party.
-
And this seemingly simple act set off a spark
-
that ignited the world,
-
that has everyone excited or terrified or otherwise interested
-
in many places.
-
Now, don't be confused about Bitcoin --
-
Bitcoin is an asset; it goes up and down,
-
and that should be of interest to you if you're a speculator.
-
More broadly, it's a cryptocurrency.
-
It's not a fiat currency controlled by a nation-state.
-
And that's of greater interest.
-
But the real pony here is the underlying technology.
-
It's called blockchain.
-
So for the first time now in human history,
-
people everywhere can trust each other
-
and transact peer to peer.
-
And trust is established, not by some big institution,
-
but by collaboration, by cryptography
-
and by some clever code.
-
And because trust is native to the technology,
-
I call this, "The Trust Protocol."
-
Now, you're probably wondering: How does this thing work?
-
Fair enough.
-
Assets -- digital assets like money to music and everything in between --
-
are not stored in a central place,
-
but they're distributed across a global ledger,
-
using the highest level of cryptography.
-
And when a transaction is conducted,
-
it's posted globally,
-
across millions and millions of computers.
-
And out there, around the world,
-
is a group of people called "miners."
-
These are not young people, they're Bitcoin miners.
-
They have massive computing power at their fingertips --
-
10 to 100 times bigger than all of Google worldwide.
-
These miners do a lot of work.
-
And every 10 minutes,
-
kind of like the heartbeat of a network,
-
a block gets created
-
that has all the transactions from the previous 10 minutes.
-
Then the miners get to work, trying to solve some tough problems.
-
And they compete:
-
the first miner to find out the truth and to validate the block,
-
is rewarded in digital currency,
-
in the case of the Bitcoin blockchain, with Bitcoin.
-
And then -- this is the key part --
-
that block is linked to the previous block
-
and the previous block
-
to create a chain of blocks.
-
And every one is time-stamped,
-
kind of like with a digital waxed seal.
-
So if I wanted to go and hack a block
-
and, say, pay you and you with the same money,
-
I'd have to hack that block,
-
plus all the preceding blocks,
-
the entire history of commerce on that blockchain,
-
not just on one computer but across millions of computers,
-
simultaneously,
-
all using the highest levels of encryption,
-
in the light of the most powerful computing resource in the world
-
that's watching me.
-
Tough to do.
-
This is infinitely more secure
-
than the computer systems that we have today.
-
Blockchain. That's how it works.
-
So the Bitcoin blockchain is just one.
-
There are many.
-
The Ethereum blockchain was developed by a Canadian named Vitalik Buterin.
-
He's [22] years old,
-
and this blockchain has some extraordinary capabilities.
-
One of them is that you can build smart contracts.
-
It's kind of what it sounds like.
-
It's a contract that self-executes,
-
and the contract handles the enforcement, the management, performance
-
and payment -- the contract kind of has a bank account, too, in a sense --
-
of agreements between people.
-
And today, on the Ethereum blockchain,
-
there are projects underway to do everything
-
from create a new replacement for the stock market
-
to create a new model of democracy,
-
where politicians are accountable to citizens.
-
(Applause)
-
So to understand what a radical change this is going to bring,
-
let's look at one industry, financial services.
-
Recognize this?
-
Rube Goldberg machine.
-
It's a ridiculously complicated machine that does something really simple,
-
like crack an egg or shut a door.
-
Well, it kind of reminds me of the financial services industry,
-
honestly.
-
I mean, you tap your card in the corner store,
-
and a bit stream goes through a dozen companies,
-
each with their own computer system,
-
some of them being 1970s mainframes
-
older than many of the people in this room,
-
and three days later, a settlement occurs.
-
Well, with a blockchain financial industry,
-
there would be no settlement,
-
because the payment and the settlement is the same activity,
-
it's just a change in the ledger.
-
So Wall Street and all around the world,
-
the financial industry is in a big upheaval about this,
-
wondering, can we be replaced,
-
or how do we embrace this technology for success?
-
Now, why should you care?
-
Well, let me describe some applications.
-
Prosperity.
-
The first era of the internet,
-
the internet of information,
-
brought us wealth but not shared prosperity,
-
because social inequality is growing.
-
And this is at the heart of all of the anger and extremism
-
and protectionism and xenophobia and worse
-
that we're seeing growing in the world today,
-
Brexit being the most recent case.
-
So could we develop some new approaches to this problem of inequality?
-
Because the only approach today is to redistribute wealth,
-
tax people and spread it around more.
-
Could we pre-distribute wealth?
-
Could we change the way that wealth gets created in the first place
-
by democratizing wealth creation,
-
engaging more people in the economy,
-
and then ensuring that they got fair compensation?
-
Let me describe five ways that this can be done.
-
Number one:
-
Did you know that 70 percent of the people in the world who have land
-
have a tenuous title to it?
-
So, you've got a little farm in Honduras, some dictator comes to power,
-
he says, "I know you've got a piece of paper that says you own your farm,
-
but the government computer says my friend owns your farm."
-
This happened on a mass scale in Honduras,
-
and this problem exists everywhere.
-
Hernando de Soto, the great Latin American economist,
-
says this is the number one issue in the world
-
in terms of economic mobility,
-
more important than having a bank account,
-
because if you don't have a valid title to your land,
-
you can't borrow against it,
-
and you can't plan for the future.
-
So today, companies are working with governments
-
to put land titles on a blockchain.
-
And once it's there, this is immutable.
-
You can't hack it.
-
This creates the conditions for prosperity
-
for potentially billions of people.
-
Secondly:
-
a lot of writers talk about Uber
-
and Airbnb and TaskRabbit and Lyft and so on
-
as part of the sharing economy.
-
This is a very powerful idea,
-
that peers can come together and create and share wealth.
-
My view is that ...
-
these companies are not really sharing.
-
In fact, they're successful precisely because they don't share.
-
They aggregate services together, and they sell them.
-
What if, rather than Airbnb being a $25 billion corporation,
-
there was a distributed application on a blockchain, we'll call it B-Airbnb,
-
and it was essentially owned by all of the people
-
who have a room to rent.
-
And when someone wants to rent a room,
-
they go onto the blockchain database and all the criteria,
-
they sift through, it helps them find the right room,
-
and then the blockchain helps with the contracting,
-
it identifies the party,
-
it handles the payments
-
just through digital payments -- they're built into the system.
-
And it even handles reputation,
-
because if she rates a room as a five-star room,
-
that room is there,
-
and it's rated, and it's immutable.