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All right.
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Thank you very much for having me.
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This is the first time I've ever spoken at a TED Conference.
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So, you know, you guys have the good taste of inviting me.
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I had never passed anybody else's standard to be invited.
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So, I'm flattered.
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And perhaps we can make a little history today, right?
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So, a little bit about my background.
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I worked for Apple from 1983 to 1987
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I was Apple's software evangelist.
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My job was to convince people to write Macintosh software.
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How many of you use Macs in this audience?
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I love to see that. (Laughter)
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Yeah.
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And the rest of you what? Are you oppressed? I mean what --
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(Laughter)
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So, I worked for Apple,
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I started some software companies,
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and I became a writer and a speaker.
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I returned to Apple as Apple's chief evangelist.
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This is in the 1995 time frame.
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And I had a great time with Apple not very long ago,
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as we all know, Steve Jobs passed away.
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And I worked for him twice.
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One of the few people who survived working for him twice.
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And he had a monumental effect on my life.
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As well as really the Valley and probably the world, truly the world.
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I think you'd have to rank him with Walt Disney and Edison and Steve Jobs.
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I mean, who are truly visionaries.
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You'll hear lots of people throw the "V" word around
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and there are I think in my estimation really three people who qualify,
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and it would be Edison, Disney and Jobs.
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So, I created this presentation right after he passed away
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because I wanted to get on paper, get onto PowerPoint, get into the world,
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what I personally learned from Steve Jobs.
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I'm not sure he intended to teach me this,
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but this is what I learned from Steve Jobs.
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And so, I would like his memory to live on forever
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and forever to influence people.
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So, the first thing that I learned from Steve Jobs is that
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"Experts pretty much are clueless."
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And this is a very important lesson for you
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because there's a temptation to default to, shall I say, older people,
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people with big titles, people who have declared themselves experts,
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and if there's anything that Apple has proven,
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is that the experts are often wrong.
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And so, as you go through your life,
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you start your companies, and you start your careers,
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and you try to change the world.
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I want you to learn to ignore experts.
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This maybe contrary to what you've been taught
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but experts usually define things within some established limits
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and I think you should break those limits.
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So, I view what I call bozosity --
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I view bozosity as somewhat like the flu
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where it can be something that you can be inoculated to.
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So, how do you fight the flu?
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You get a little bit of flu, so that when you encounter big flu,
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you've already built up resistance.
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So, I'm gonna inoculate you to bozosity
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so that when you encounter big bozosity,
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you will have already built up resistance.
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So, let me show you some bozosity of experts.
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First thing.
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1943, Thomas Watson, Chairman of IBM says,
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"There is a world market for maybe 5 computers."
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I have 5 Macintoshes in my house.
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(Laughter)
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I have all the computers he anticipated in the world.
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If you were Steve Jobs or Steve Wozniak or Bill Gates and you listened to this,
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where would we be today? Next example.
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"This telephone has too many shortcomings
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to be seriously considered as a means of communication.
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The device is inherently of no value to us."
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(Laughter)
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Western Union memo, 1876.
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Oops!
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You know, Western Union should be PayPal today.
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It's not. It's very hard to go from telegraph to Internet,
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if you write off telephone in the middle.
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You know what I am saying, it's just too big of chasm to cross.
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The last example is from our friends at DEC. Ken Olsen, founder of DEC,
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great company, great entrepreneur.
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"There is no reason why anyone would want a computer in their home."
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(Laughter)
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If you wanted to run something at home
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you would just have to instead go back to your office and run a DEC minicomputer.
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Three examples of bozosity,
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and not from, you know, total people that you wouldn't expect.
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These are all people you would expect.
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Founder of IBM.
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Founder of DEC.
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You know, Western Union, hugely successful company back then.
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You need to learn to ignore experts.
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Next thing you need to do is to understand that
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"Customers cannot tell you what they need."
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They could tell you that "I want bigger, faster, cheaper status quo."
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That's what they usually will tell you.
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You really can't ask them about a revolution
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because they can only define things, they can only describe things
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in terms of products or services that they already have.
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Bigger, faster, cheaper status quo.
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If you truly want to change the world,
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you need to ignore your customers.
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And you need to jump curves. Let's talk about this.
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This is the Macintosh 128K.
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I promise you nobody in the world was asking for this computer in 1984.
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No one said, "Give us a cheap little graphic toy, 128k of RAM,
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no software," thanks to my efforts.
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That's what we did.
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Totally unexpected.
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Nobody was asking for it.
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It's because Steve Jobs, using the "V" word,
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had a vision for what the future would be.
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This is his vision - graphical user interface.
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Next thing I learned from Steve Jobs is,
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"You need to jump to the next curve,"
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rather than duking it out on the same curve
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trying to do something 10% better
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you need to get to the next curve.
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Don't stay on the same curve.
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Great example - 1900s, Ice 1.0.
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There was an ice harvesting industry in the United States.
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This meant that Baba and Junior would go to a frozen lake
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or frozen pond and cut a block of ice.
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9 million pounds of ice were harvested in 1900.
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Ice 2.0.
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Ice 2.0 was ice factory.
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Now, you froze water, any city, any time of year.
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Major breakthrough.
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So much better.
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They didn't have to be cold city.
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They didn't have to be cold time of year.
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Ice 3.0. the refrigerator curve.
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Now, it wasn't about the ice factory with the iceman delivering ice to your house.
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Now, you had your own personal ice factory.
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Your own PC, your own "Personal Chiller."
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(Laughter)
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The great innovation occurs when you are not staying on the same curve.
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Don't do a better ice harvester.
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Don't add horses to the sleight.
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Don't have a bigger sharper saw.
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If you are an ice factory,
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don’t have more ice factories,
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don't build better ice factories,
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don't have better icemen delivering ice
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you wanna get to the next curve.
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If you were a printer company,
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although many of you are too young to understand this,
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there used to be this thing called daisy wheel printer
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and had this little ball in this, ball rotated and struck the paper.
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If you were a daisy wheel printer company
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and your idea of innovation was,
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"Well, let's introduce more typefaces in larger sizes,"
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that's not innovation.
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Innovation occurs when you go from daisy wheel printer to laser printer.
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Jump to the next curve.
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Next thing that I learned is,
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"The biggest challenges beget the best work in people."
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I think one of the reasons why we did such great work at Macintosh division
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is because Steve had such great expectations of us.
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And, you know, we try to rise to his expectations.
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This is an ad that shows some of the --
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shall I say, youthful exuberance of Apple.
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When IBM entered the computer business, Apple ran this ad
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welcoming IBM to the computer business.
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We were throwing down the gauntlet.
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Welcome IBM, you huge successful East Coast mainframe computer company.
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Welcome to the personal computer business.
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Welcome to Vietnam.
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(Laughter)
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Next thing I learned from Steve is that "Design counts."
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Many people can say that they appreciate design.
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Many companies say that.
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But truly, how many companies care about design?
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Apple is one of the few, truly cares.
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And you know what, not everybody in the customer base
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truly cares about design.
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To this day, 95% of the world doesn't use a Macintosh, only 5% does.
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But they are people who really care about design and they count.
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Design counts.
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This is a Mac Book Air.
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Thin, beautiful, design counts.
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You have one?
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Thin, beautiful, design counts.
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Next thing is, when you make a presentation,
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if you did nothing else but this, [Use big graphics and big fonts] (Laughter)
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you would be better than 9/10 of the presentations in the world.
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Seriously.
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Seriously, just do this.
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I'll show you a typical Steve Jobs slide.
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What a great slide!
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Big graphic.
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"The best Windows app ever written: iTunes."
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It's a typical Steve Jobs slide.
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You know, any other CEO, there would be a matrix, right?
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There would be a 4 column matrix,
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and it would have this like checkboxes,
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and it would be an 8 point font
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and you couldn't read it.
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The person giving the presentation would not be able to explain it.
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This is the beauty of Steve Jobs.
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The irony of saying that the best Windows app ever is iTunes from Apple.
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Showing the logo of Windows.
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This is a beautiful slide, this encapsulates the Steve Jobs presentation style.
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Big graphics.
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Big fonts.
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The ideal font-size, just for you to know, maybe a rule of thumb --
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The rule of thumb is find out who the oldest person is in the audience,
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divide his or her age by two.
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(Laughter) OK?
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So, if you are talking to people of 60 years old, probably 30 points
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50 years old, 25 points.
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Someday, you maybe pitching to a really young VC.
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Let's say, the VC is sixteen years old.
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At that point, God bless you, use the 8 point font.
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(Laughter)
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But until that time --
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big fonts.
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Big fonts.
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The beauty of a big font is, it makes it so
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that you cannot put a lot of text on your presentation.
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You don't want a lot of text
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because if you put a lot of text, you read the text
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and if you read the text, your audience will be lost.
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Your audience will be lost because they are going to say to themselves,
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"This bozo is reading the slide verbatim.
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I can read silently to myself faster than this bozo can read it orally to me.
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So I will just read ahead." (Laughter)
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And you will lose your audience.
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Big font.
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Big graphics.
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Next thing.
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"Changing your mind is truly a sign of intelligence."
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You may think that you should formulate this great thought,
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you should use these analytical skills,
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you should come to this great conclusion
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by God, you gotta stick to this conclusion
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because you know you are right and you believe.
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And I think what Apple has proven time and time again is that
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if you change your mind, if you change the way you do things
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in response to how customers actually consider you, treat you, or accept you,
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it is a sign of intelligence and it will lead to success.
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I'll give you an example.
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Believe it or not, when the iPhone first came out,
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this was the press release that basically set the Apple perspective on apps:
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"Our innovative approach, using Web 2.0-based standards,