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Concepts play an important role in all theories.
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Theories in their simples definition are all statements about reality
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that seek to explain or predict the relation between phenomena.
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For instance, the theory of gravity predicts that if I drop a pen, it will fall to the floor.
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A specific predicted result, derived from theory, we call a hypothesis.
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Whenever we visualise these statements this is called a model.
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Usually the arrows and lines in these models represent hypotheses.
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The box on the left in this model represents the presumed cause, dropping the pencil.
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We call this the independent variable. The other is the presumed effect, or the dependent variable.
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If we change our example and look at the theory that giving someone a gift
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causes them to like you better.
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Than the independent variable here is giftgiving.
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and the dependent variable is how much you are being liked by someone.
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So we can prove or disprove our hypotheses, and in extension the connected theory,
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by actually dropping a pen or giving a gift
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and check if the results correspond with the expected results.
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In other words, we test and improve our theories with use of research.
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This can be primary research, where we collect our own data.
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Or by studying the results of others, so called secondary research.
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We have several main means in our field to gather data.
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The first is observation, simply observing the phenomenon.
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Secondly we conduct experiments, where we try to limit to amount of interfering variables
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so we can actually prove a causal relation between the dependent and independent variable.
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We also use surveys, which is a questionnaire spread amongst a sample or respondents.
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The results are usually quantified.
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For a more in depth exploration of attitudes we conduct qualitative interviews.
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Finally we study the message itself. This is called content analysis.
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It can be done systematically, where the results are later quantified.
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Or it can be done in a qualitative fashion.
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Of course this is the ideal scientific situation. In reality many theories can't be tested.
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For instance because we can not observe the presumed relation.
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The theory that 'everything happens for a reason' might be true,
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but we don't really have access to the methods to test this.
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Sometimes a theory will combine a set of theories.
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For instance The Uses and Gratification Theory:
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which is a complex theory that we will discuss later in depth in this class.
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The point for now is that it contains several ideas about reality.
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First of all, people make conscious decisions regarding their use of media.
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Secondly, people are conscious of their media- related needs.
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Thirdly, people select the media that is best suited to fulfill their needs.
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These are only a few elements of this theory, but my point is
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that even though these different statements can be tested and proven independently,
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they are still part of the same theoretical framework and therefore
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collectively labeled as Uses and Gratification Theory.
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So the definition of theory is not as easy as we first thought.
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Some theories don't even predict anything but serve more as perspectives on reality
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or to sum up an approach.
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They tell us it is important to study some aspects of that reality more thoroughly.
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For instance 'stakeholder theory' tells us we should study the stakeholders in any situation
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and be aware of their various interests and agendas.
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These perspectives are sometimes called theory,
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but we also use the words paradigms or approaches,
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since they don't really fit the dominant definition of scientific theory.
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That definition stresses that theories have predictive value.
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And these paradigms or approaches serve more as view glasses,
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which we use to study the world.
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They amplify some aspects of reality and guide our research.