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There's a classic urban myth
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which says that if everyone in China jumps up in the air all together,
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then the Earth will be rocked off its axis.
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Now, believe me, I've done the calculations, and I can say
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that the Earth's axis is perfectly safe.
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Although, as someone who grew up in Britain in the 1980's,
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the words 'Michael Fish' and 'hurricane' do spring to mind.
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Nevertheless, even a single person, if they jump up in the air,
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can, so to speak, make the Earth move.
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The trouble is, you don't make it move very much.
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So let's suppose we could make a measurement,
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not so much about jumping scientists shaking the Earth,
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but a measurement so precise
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that it could tell us something about the change and the shape of space itself
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produced by an exploding star halfway across the galaxy.
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That really does sound like science fiction,
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but in fact such a machine already exists.
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It's called a laser interferometer,
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and it's one of the most sophisticated scientific instruments we've ever built.
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And in a few years time
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we're confident it's going to open up for us
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a whole new way of looking at the universe called gravitational-wave astronomy.
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Now gravitational waves are not the same thing as light;
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they're not part of the spectrum of light that we call the electromagnetic spectrum,
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stretching all the way from radio waves to gamma rays.
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We've already got lots of different types of light,
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and over the last 60 years or so,
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we've got really rather good at probing the universe
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with all those different kinds of light.
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Whether it's building a giant radio telescope on the surface
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or putting a gamma ray observatory out in space,
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we've used these different windows in the cosmos
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to tell us some quite amazing things about how our universe works.
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We've probed the birth and the death of stars.
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We've explored the hearts of galaxies.
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We've even started to find planets like the Earth going around other stars.
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But the gravitational wave spectrum will be completely different.
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It will give us a window in the universe
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into some of the most violent and energetic events in the cosmos:
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exploding stars, colliding black holes, maybe even the Big Bang itself.
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Now, what will we learn
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from the gravitational wave window on the universe?
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Well, maybe the most exciting thing is the things we don't know about yet,
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the so-called unknown unknowns,
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the things that we don't even know we don't know yet.
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It's going to take a few more years but we are almost there.
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Now, before we talk about gravitational waves,
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let's have a think about gravity.
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There's another urban myth which I'm sure everyone has heard of,
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the one about the apple falling on Isaac Newton's head.
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Now, I'm not really sure if there was any genuine fruit involved in that,
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but wherever he got his inspiration from, Newton came up with a very clever idea.
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Because he worked out that he could use the same physical law
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to describe both an apple falling from a tree
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or the Moon orbiting the Earth.
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And he called this his universal law of gravity.
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And it basically says that everything in the cosmos attracts everything else.
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It's a beautiful theory and it's also very practically useful.
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It lets us do all sorts of useful things in our modern world
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and has done for more than 300 years.
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It lets us fly aircraft halfway round the world,
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it lets fly a rocket to the Moon and back.
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But there is a problem with Newton's law of gravity, a philosophical problem.
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On a very fundamental level it doesn't really make sense,
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because Newton says there's a force between the Earth and the Moon.
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Well, how does the Moon know it's supposed to orbit the Earth?
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How does the force actually get from the Earth to the Moon?
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This was a problem which no less than Albert Einstein puzzled over
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in the early years of the 20th century.
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And Einstein came up with a truly remarkable answer.
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Now, Albert Einstein was probably the first celebrity scientist.
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Even though he died in 1955,
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in 1999, the editors of Time magazine voted him the person of the 20th century.
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Although I should mention there was a public vote on the website
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and they went for Elvis Presley.
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(Laughter)
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Now I'm as big a fan of the King's music as anyone,
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but I still have to go with the editor's decision here.
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In fact I even have my own action figure of Einstein at the university.
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(Laughter)
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So what exactly did Einstein do, if he was the person of the 20th century?
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Well, what he did, was make us rethink what gravity really is.
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In Einstein's picture, gravity isn't so much a force
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between the Earth and the Moon or apples and trees,
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instead it was a curving or a bending of space and time themselves.
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So a good metaphor here
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is to think of the Earth sitting on a stretched sheet of rubber,
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like a trampoline.
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The mass of the Earth, the very great mass of the Earth,
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will bend that rubber sheet a lot,
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and then you don't really need
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to have the Moon anymore feeling a force reaching out from the Earth.
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The Moon just follows the natural curves and bends
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of space and time around the Earth.
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In fact, Einstein also said
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that we should no longer really think of space and time as separate things,
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so you hear people talk about the fabric of space-time.
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What Einstein said was, that gravity is a curving, a bending of space-time.
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Or as another physicist, John Wheeler, put it rather neatly:
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'Space-time tells matter how to move, and matter tells space-time how to curve.'
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Now, all that sounds very grand and fundamental
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about the nature of the universe,
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but it's got a lot of practical applications as well.
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Down here on the Earth, in the Earth's feeble gravity,
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there's a very remarkable prediction of Einstein's theory,
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which you probably have never noticed before.
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Did you know for example
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that clocks run more slowly on the surface of the Earth
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than high above the Earth,
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because the gravitational field is stronger.
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You might remember that scene in the movie
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'Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol',
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when Tom Cruise is scaling
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the Burj Khalifa, the world's tallest building.
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But even when he was 800 metres above the ground,
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Tom's watch, I'm sure he was too busy to notice,
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but Tom's watch would only be running a few billionths of a second faster
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than it would have done down at ground level.
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So what's a few billionths of a second between friends?
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Well, that's actually enough to make a difference
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to the Global Positioning System.
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The GPS satellites, their data has to be adjusted
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for time running faster at the altitude of the satellites.
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And that's a whopping 40 microseconds a day.
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Now the radio signals and microwave signals from those satellites
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can travel about 10 kilometres in 40 microseconds.
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So just think how bad your SatNav would be,
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if it were only good to 10 kilometres.
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We'd all get lost pretty damn quick.
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So Einstein's theory of gravity, his General Theory of Relativity,
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really does have everyday practical effects on our daily lives.
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But it's out there in deep space where you really see it to the max.
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In fact, if gravity is all about bending space-time,
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we can do a kind of thought experiment.
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We can imagine that if you could put enough matter into a small enough space,
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eventually you would bend space-time so much
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that even light couldn't escape the clutches of gravity.
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You've got yourself a black hole.
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Now black holes were imagined around the time of Einstein.
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In fact, in 1916, just after Einstein had published his theory,
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there was a wonderful paper written by a young scientist,
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who was at the front in the First World War at the time,
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Karl Schwarzschild.
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And it sets out the theory of a black hole.
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Black holes really do sound as if they belong in the realms of science fiction.
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But we do think that black holes actually exist,
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and that for even light to escape from a black hole
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truly would be Mission Impossible.
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We find black holes in the remnants of exploded stars,
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we even seem to find them in supermassive form
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in the hearts of virtually every galaxy in the universe.
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Imagine you could take a black hole and move it close to the speed of light.
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That would shake up space-time a lot,
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like dropping a cannonball on that fabric of a trampoline.
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It would send ripples spreading out,
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and those ripples are what we call gravitational waves.
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So gravitational waves would be produced by things like black holes,
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or their slightly less extreme gravitational cousins
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called neutron stars.
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And if you could get two of them to collide together
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close to the speed of light,
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that would really make some waves.
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That's what we're looking for
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as we embark on this new field of gravitational-wave astronomy.
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If only it were that easy.
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That's the plan, but to do it is tough,
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because even though the gravitational waves
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shake up space-time colossally where the black holes are,
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just like ripples in a pond, if they spread out through the universe,
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they get weaker and weaker.
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By the time they arrive at the Earth,
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the shaking of space-time that we're trying to measure
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is roughly speaking about a millionth of a millionth of a millionth of a metre.
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That's pretty tough to measure.
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So how do you do it?
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Well, at the risk of sounding like one of those Las Vegas magic shows,
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it's all done with mirrors and lasers.
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What you do, is you take a laser beam, you shine that laser beam at a mirror,
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you split it into two beams that go at right angles to each other,
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bounce them off a mirror, recombine them,
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and then have a look at what you've got.
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If the two beams have travelled exactly the same distance,
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then what you get back is the beams in perfect step with each other.
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They're light waves just like all those other forms of light,
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so the wave trains will be matched up.
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But if they've travelled a different distance,
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they'll be out of step with each other, they'll interfere with each other -
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we call this phenomenon interference,
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so that's why these things are called laser interferometers.
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So a laser interferometer is a cool thing to have
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if you want to try and catch a gravitational wave.
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But remember they're incredibly minute signals,
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so it's going to be a huge engineering challenge to build one.
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So Einstein said that when a gravitational wave goes by,
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it will stretch and squeeze the space-time in our vicinity,
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but by this incredibly tiny amount.
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So we're trying to use the laser beam and its interference pattern
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to tell us if a gravitational wave has gone past.
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But you've really got to scale up the experiment and go large.
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And that is where LIGO comes in.
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LIGO stands for Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory.
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And it's the most ambitious and sophisticated
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scientific project ever undertaken by the National Science Foundation in the US.
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In fact, there are two LIGO's.
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There's one in Louisiana and there's another one in Washington State.
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And together with two other interferometers,
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one called GEO in Germany and Virgo in Italy,
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this is our early warning system for gravitational waves.
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Now, they're built in quite remote locations, LIGO,
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and I think the locals don't really get what they're for.
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One of my LIGO colleagues was flying over the Livingston site
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and a fellow passenger on the flight was looking down at the detector and said,
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'I have a theory what that's for.
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It's actually a secret government time machine.'
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He wasn't quite sure how to respond,
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but well he sort of said, 'OK then, why the L-shape?'
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And she said, 'Ah, they have to come back again.'
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(Laughter)
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Time travel really is science fiction,
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but finding gravitational waves, we very much hope,
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in a few years time, will be science fact.
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Now it is tough.
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All those tiny, tiny effects we're trying to measure
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could be swamped by the local effects of disturbances from shaking the ground;
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not because of out there in the universe,
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but because of very much more mundane phenomena here on Earth.
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So what you've got to do, is put your mirrors
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on very complex suspension systems
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that push against the limits of materials technology.
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And even the buffeting of the air in the laser beam
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could swamp our signal,
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so we have to send the lasers back and forth
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in the most ultra-high vacuum system anywhere on Earth,
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only one trillionth of the atmospheric pressure that we're breathing here today.
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So put all that together, spend a few hundred million dollars,
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and hope you're going to find some gravitational waves,
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but it takes a lot of scientists to do it.
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So at Glasgow we're part of the LIGO scientific collaboration.
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More than 900 scientists and engineers around the world