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We live in difficult and challenging
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economic times, of course.
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And one of the first victims
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of difficult economic times,
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I think, is public spending of any kind,
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but certainly in the firing line at the moment
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is public spending for science,
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and particularly curiosity-led science
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and exploration.
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So I want to try and convince you in about 15 minutes
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that that's a ridiculous
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and ludicrous thing to do.
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But I think to set the scene,
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I want to show -- the next slide is not my attempt
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to show the worst TED slide in the history of TED,
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but it is a bit of a mess.
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(Laughter)
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But actually, it's not my fault; it's from the Guardian newspaper.
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And it's actually a beautiful demonstration
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of how much science costs.
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Because, if I'm going to make the case
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for continuing to spend on curiosity-driven science and exploration,
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I should tell you how much it costs.
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So this is a game called "spot the science budgets."
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This is the U.K. government spend.
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You see there, it's about 620 billion a year.
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The science budget is actually --
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if you look to your left, there's a purple set of blobs
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and then yellow set of blobs.
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And it's one of the yellow set of blobs
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around the big yellow blob.
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It's about 3.3 billion pounds per year
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out of 620 billion.
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That funds everything in the U.K.
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from medical research, space exploration,
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where I work, at CERN in Geneva, particle physics,
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engineering, even arts and humanities,
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funded from the science budget,
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which is that 3.3 billion, that little, tiny yellow blob
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around the orange blob at the top left of the screen.
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So that's what we're arguing about.
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That percentage, by the way, is about the same
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in the U.S. and Germany and France.
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R&D in total in the economy,
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publicly funded, is about
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0.6 percent of GDP.
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So that's what we're arguing about.
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The first thing I want to say,
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and this is straight from "Wonders of the Solar System,"
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is that our exploration of the solar system and the universe
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has shown us that it is indescribably beautiful.
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This is a picture that actually was sent back
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by the Cassini space probe around Saturn,
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after we'd finished filming "Wonders of the Solar System."
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So it isn't in the series.
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It's of the moon Enceladus.
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So that big sweeping, white
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sphere in the corner is Saturn,
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which is actually in the background of the picture.
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And that crescent there is the moon Enceladus,
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which is about as big as the British Isles.
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It's about 500 kilometers in diameter.
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So, tiny moon.
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What's fascinating and beautiful ...
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this an unprocessed picture, by the way, I should say,
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it's black and white, straight from Saturnian orbit.
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What's beautiful is, you can probably see on the limb there
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some faint, sort of,
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wisps of almost smoke
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rising up from the limb.
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This is how we visualize that in "Wonders of the Solar System."
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It's a beautiful graphic.
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What we found out were that those faint wisps
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are actually fountains of ice
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rising up from the surface of this tiny moon.
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That's fascinating and beautiful in itself,
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but we think that the mechanism
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for powering those fountains
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requires there to be lakes of liquid water
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beneath the surface of this moon.
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And what's important about that
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is that, on our planet, on Earth,
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wherever we find liquid water,
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we find life.
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So, to find strong evidence
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of liquid, pools of liquid, beneath the surface of a moon
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750 million miles away from the Earth
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is really quite astounding.
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So what we're saying, essentially,
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is maybe that's a habitat for life in the solar system.
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Well, let me just say, that was a graphic. I just want to show this picture.
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That's one more picture of Enceladus.
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This is when Cassini flew beneath Enceladus.
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So it made a very low pass,
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just a few hundred kilometers above the surface.
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And so this, again, a real picture of the ice fountains rising up into space,
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absolutely beautiful.
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But that's not the prime candidate for life in the solar system.
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That's probably this place,
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which is a moon of Jupiter, Europa.
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And again, we had to fly to the Jovian system
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to get any sense that this moon, as most moons,
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was anything other than a dead ball of rock.
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It's actually an ice moon.
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So what you're looking at is the surface of the moon Europa,
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which is a thick sheet of ice, probably a hundred kilometers thick.
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But by measuring the way that
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Europa interacts
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with the magnetic field of Jupiter,
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and looking at how those cracks in the ice
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that you can see there on that graphic move around,
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we've inferred very strongly
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that there's an ocean of liquid surrounding
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the entire surface of Europa.
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So below the ice, there's an ocean of liquid around the whole moon.
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It could be hundreds of kilometers deep, we think.
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We think it's saltwater, and that would mean that
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there's more water on that moon of Jupiter
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than there is in all the oceans of the Earth combined.
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So that place, a little moon around Jupiter,
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is probably the prime candidate
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for finding life on a moon
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or a body outside the Earth, that we know of.
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Tremendous and beautiful discovery.
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Our exploration of the solar system
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has taught us that the solar system is beautiful.
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It may also have pointed the way to answering
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one of the most profound questions that you can possibly ask,
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which is: "Are we alone in the universe?"
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Is there any other use to exploration and science,
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other than just a sense of wonder?
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Well, there is.
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This is a very famous picture
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taken, actually, on my first Christmas Eve,
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December 24th, 1968,
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when I was about eight months old.
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It was taken by Apollo 8
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as it went around the back of the moon.
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Earthrise from Apollo 8.
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A famous picture; many people have said that it's the picture
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that saved 1968,
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which was a turbulent year --
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the student riots in Paris,
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the height of the Vietnam War.
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The reason many people think that about this picture,
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and Al Gore has said it many times, actually, on the stage at TED,
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is that this picture, arguably, was
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the beginning of the environmental movement.
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Because, for the first time,
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we saw our world,
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not as a solid, immovable,
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kind of indestructible place,
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but as a very small, fragile-looking world
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just hanging against the blackness of space.
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What's also not often said
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about the space exploration, about the Apollo program,
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is the economic contribution it made.
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I mean while you can make arguments that it was wonderful
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and a tremendous achievement
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and delivered pictures like this,
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it cost a lot, didn't it?
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Well, actually, many studies have been done
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about the economic effectiveness,
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the economic impact of Apollo.
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The biggest one was in 1975 by Chase Econometrics.
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And it showed that for every $1 spent on Apollo,
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14 came back into the U.S. economy.
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So the Apollo program paid for itself
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in inspiration,
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in engineering, achievement
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and, I think, in inspiring young scientists and engineers
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14 times over.
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So exploration can pay for itself.
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What about scientific discovery?
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What about driving innovation?
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Well, this looks like a picture of virtually nothing.
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What it is, is a picture of the spectrum
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of hydrogen.
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See, back in the 1880s, 1890s,
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many scientists, many observers,
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looked at the light given off from atoms.
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And they saw strange pictures like this.
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What you're seeing when you put it through a prism
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is that you heat hydrogen up and it doesn't just glow
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like a white light,
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it just emits light at particular colors,
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a red one, a light blue one, some dark blue ones.
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Now that led to an understanding of atomic structure
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because the way that's explained
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is atoms are a single nucleus
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with electrons going around them.
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And the electrons can only be in particular places.
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And when they jump up to the next place they can be,
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and fall back down again,
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they emit light at particular colors.
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And so the fact that atoms, when you heat them up,
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only emit light at very specific colors,
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was one of the key drivers
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that led to the development of the quantum theory,
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the theory of the structure of atoms.
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I just wanted to show this picture because this is remarkable.
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This is actually a picture of the spectrum of the Sun.
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And now, this is a picture of atoms in the Sun's atmosphere
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absorbing light.
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And again, they only absorb light at particular colors
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when electrons jump up and fall down,
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jump up and fall down.
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But look at the number of black lines in that spectrum.
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And the element helium
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was discovered just by staring at the light from the Sun
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because some of those black lines were found
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that corresponded to no known element.
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And that's why helium's called helium.
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It's called "helios" -- helios from the Sun.
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Now, that sounds esoteric,
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and indeed it was an esoteric pursuit,
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but the quantum theory quickly led
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to an understanding of the behaviors of electrons in materials
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like silicon, for example.
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The way that silicon behaves,
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the fact that you can build transistors,
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is a purely quantum phenomenon.
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So without that curiosity-driven
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understanding of the structure of atoms,
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which led to this rather esoteric theory, quantum mechanics,
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then we wouldn't have transistors, we wouldn't have silicon chips,
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we wouldn't have pretty much the basis
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of our modern economy.
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There's one more, I think, wonderful twist to that tale.
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In "Wonders of the Solar System,"
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we kept emphasizing the laws of physics are universal.
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It's one of the most incredible things about the physics
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and the understanding of nature that you get on Earth,
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is you can transport it, not only to the planets,
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but to the most distant stars and galaxies.
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And one of the astonishing predictions
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of quantum mechanics,
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just by looking at the structure of atoms --
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the same theory that describes transistors --
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is that there can be no stars in the universe
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that have reached the end of their life
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that are bigger than, quite specifically, 1.4 times the mass of the Sun.
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That's a limit imposed on the mass of stars.
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You can work it out on a piece of paper in a laboratory,
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get a telescope, swing it to the sky,
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and you find that there are no dead stars
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bigger than 1.4 times the mass of the Sun.
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That's quite an incredible prediction.
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What happens when you have a star that's right on the edge of that mass?
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Well, this is a picture of it.
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This is the picture of a galaxy, a common "our garden" galaxy