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Pan American World Airways Clipper flight 100…
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…nears its destination
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It's an industry that has changed the world…
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…and it's now in crisis
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But is this aviation's moment for a green reset?
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Covid has given an opportunity to build back green and faster
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The technology race is on
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There is absolutely opportunity for companies like us…
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…to change the world here
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But are the runners fit for purpose…
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...and will sustainable air travel cost more?
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Val Miftakhov is the CEO of a company…
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…committed to sustainable aviation
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Of course it's exciting, every time we are testing something new
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And today he's test-flying a plane…
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…that could potentially solve aviation's biggest challenge
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This is the world's largest hydrogen-electric aircraft…
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…flying right now
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We hope for us achieving all the performance…
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…that we expect to achieve
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His vision—to fly without polluting the skies
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Ok, let's do it
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Ok, let's do the max
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In this plane, hydrogen is being used in a fuel cell…
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…to run an electric motor…
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…producing zero-carbon emissions
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Honestly, the only by-product of a fuel-cell operation is water
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So water vapour gets out into the atmosphere…
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…and it's pretty harmless
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Without decarbonising technologies like hydrogen…
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…aviation could be responsible for 22%…
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…of the planet's emissions by 2050
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Because it can pack more energy into a smaller space…
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…hydrogen has recently overtaken electric batteries…
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…as the front-runner in the race for cleaner flying
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Within 15 years…
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…the manufacturing giant, Airbus…
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…plans to introduce planes that burn hydrogen in engines as fuel
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And the EU believes that by 2050…
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…hydrogen technologies could reduce…
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…the industry's carbon emissions by up to 75%
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We actually looked early on at different ways…
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…to bring sustainability to aviation
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Hydrogen-electric is the most efficient…
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…and likely to be the lowest cost out of all
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But there are plenty of obstacles to overcome…
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…before these hydrogen technologies…
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…are commercially viable
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For starters, installing the infrastructure…
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…to distribute and produce hydrogen will be very pricey…
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…at least $500bn by one estimate
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What's more, hydrogen will need to be produced sustainably…
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…using renewable energy to split water molecules
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And on top of that, hydrogen packs less energy…
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…into a given volume than jet fuel…
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…so powering long-haul flights will mean…
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…extensive aircraft redesign
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So you need bigger tanks…
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…you need to change the shape of the aeroplane
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And then within the engine…
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…you need more sophisticated heat exchangers…
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…to deal with the hydrogen coming through
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Airlines are fighting for the future of their industry
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The big problem for aviation…
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…is that green technologies cost a lot of money…
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…but there isn't much to go around…
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…as the industry faces the worst economic crisis in its history…
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…and as environmental movements like “flight-shaming” are on the up
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Some in aviation are committed to greener skies
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It's just they can't do it on their own…
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…according to one of Britain's leading figures…
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…on climate change and energy policy
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I think the good news…
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…is that the industry has really redoubled…
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…its efforts to decarbonise
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I think we are seeing many examples of leadership
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But we may also need, you know, government support…
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…in an environment where covid-19 has very clearly…
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…hit the cashflows…
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…of the big incumbent players…
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…in a way which was not their fault
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Even with governments' help…
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…it will take at least two decades…
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…before hydrogen-powered planes are ready for take-off
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To reduce emissions in the nearer term…
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…aviation needs other options
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And a front-runner has recently emerged
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Since July, the right engine of this Airbus A321…
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…has been powered by biofuel
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Sustainable fuels are made from synthetic sources…
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…or biological ones such as crops, algae…
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…or even waste
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One of the great benefits…
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…of going down the sustainable-aviation-fuel…
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…the biofuel or the synthetic-jet-fuel route…
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…is that it's a drop-in fuel…
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…so that what happens at the airport doesn't change
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To pump up the flow of sustainable fuels…
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…experts say governments need to offer incentives to airlines
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That could mean rolling out taxes on dirty fuels…
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…and making airlines buy a certain proportion of cleaner ones
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We have this chicken-and-egg problem, as we call it…
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…of aviation companies who say…
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…we would love to buy sustainable-aviation fuel…
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…if it was only 50% more expensive…
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…than conventional jet fuel
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But as long as it's three times more expensive…
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…this is prohibitively expensive…
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…and you have people trying to develop…
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…a sustainable-aviation-fuel technologies…
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…who would say, we could get the price down…
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…if only we had certainty of really big orders…
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…by a particular date
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And there's another way…
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…governments could speed up the shift to greener skies…
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…stumping up investment funds
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So that's interesting
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Just ask the CEO…
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…who is trying to make hydrogen-powered planes take off
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He says the $3.3m his company received…
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…from the British government, has been crucial
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He argues larger-scale investment from the state…
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…as well as the private sector…
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…is key to making green aviation viable
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It's very hard to make…
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…the radically new technologies competitive commercially…
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…without government support right from the beginning…
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…especially when you're in R&D phase…
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…especially in such a capital-intense industry as aviation
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Going green may be the biggest challenge…
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…the industry has ever faced
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It demands the right investment and policies…
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…to support a range of technologies
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And that might mean passengers need deeper pockets
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It may be that there is a slight air-ticket premium
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I think we should simply pay it
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I think we should say this is what we have to pay…
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…in order to have zero-carbon flight
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I'm Simon Wright, industry editor at The Economist
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If you'd like to read more about the future of aviation…
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…click on the link opposite
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If you'd like to watch more…
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…of our Now & Next series…
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…click on the other link
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Thank you for watching…
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…and don't forget to subscribe