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  • these days, we are basing all of our long term implications on a number that comes out every single day.

  • So let's now think about what those decisions are going to cost us.

  • Here's a headline.

  • Embrace yourself for it because it's shocking.

  • The Daily Mail recently came out with an article, and I'll read it for you.

  • And it says this lock down will claim the equivalent of 560,000 lives because of the health impact of the deep and prolonged recession, it will cause now this is according to research from Professor Phillip Thomas of Bristol University.

  • And there he is, saying there is a demonstrable link between the country's wealth and the life expectancy of his citizens, or, to put it simply, the richer a country the longer it's people live.

  • And on that same note, the poorer country that shorter the people live and we see this all the time.

  • You could explain it.

  • Uh, you can actually explain 80% of the variation in life expectancy between different nations.

  • Look at something like India or ah country like South Africa or a country in Asia versus say, ah country like the UK or America.

  • You can really correlate the life expectancy down to the economics of that country, and that makes sense.

  • More money, better access to health care, better access to education.

  • It's correlated, and it makes a difference.

  • And yet no one is talking about that as we watch our economy go down the drain during this tear, five locked down that suspended all business and all human activity.

  • And so the professor goes on to say, quote.

  • A sustained lock down would lead to economic output slumping to around 9% lower than normal, which is exactly what we saw last year, actually more like 11% with grim forecast predicting three million unemployed to be caused by co vid.

  • All of this will reduce each person's life by four months on average.

  • This is exactly what Professor Philip Thomas's saying of Bristol University.

  • Now, as he goes on in this article, he says, quote, this might not sound like a great deal on first hearing.

  • He's talking about four months, but when you multiply that by Britain's population of 67 million, the number of average lives lost comes to 560,000 average lives lost and here is ah, summary of his calculations, and you can see these numbers up here.

  • I'll walk you through him that that 67 million people here in the UK Times, four months less on your life, which is 40.34 years.

  • That means 23 million total years lost.

  • Now, if you look at the average age of remaining life expectancy here in Britain, it's 42 years.

  • It's kind of about the average age of the person and the average life expectancy.

  • If you divide that into 23 million, you get the 560,000 lives lost.

  • And that is greater than the total deaths in the Second World War that the UK suffered in military and civilian.

  • It's a massive number, and yet we're doing that toe ourselves right now as we speak and no one is paying attention to it.

  • Imagine that.

  • Imagine if that number came up every day and we could see how many people were dying for lock down.

  • Do you think we would stay in lock down?

  • Do you think our politicians we continue pursuing this agenda?

  • I don't think so, but we focus on that one metric, and all of our behavior is around that one metric and again just to go a little bit further.

  • The professor arrived at that figure again by by looking at the total number of years to be lost by that population on dividing by 42 which gives us which is the remaining life expectancy of the British people today.

  • And that's what he calls the average lives lost.

  • He goes on to say this even if the UK ends up suffering 250,000 UK cova deaths, Okay, that's a massive number.

  • Probably, you know, what is that?

  • 1.5 x times what's been reported right now, even if it's that, he said.

  • That's on lei, the equivalent of 45,000 average lives lost because of how many years you have left when you die.

  • And the truth is, is that many of the people dying often only times have only one or two or three years yes, left of life, he said.

  • So the equivalent of that is only 45,000 average lives lost, and if you look at that number, you get the final punch line, which is this that number is less than 10% of the equivalent loss of life that this nation is going to suffer by this prolonged locked down 10%.

  • And we really need to think about that number right now.

  • We really need to think about that.

  • And again, any death is tragic.

  • You?

  • No, no, no human being would disagree against that.

  • But again, locked down is not the method to control this.

  • It's not the method.

  • Control this and we're looking at potentially saving 45,000 average lives lost, or you are potentially losing 560,000 lives with this current locked down scenario.

these days, we are basing all of our long term implications on a number that comes out every single day.

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LONG-TERM IMPACT: Why Our Government Is Ignoring The Long-Term Impact Of Lockdowns - Brian Rose

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    林宜悉 posted on 2021/01/12
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