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It's three AM somewhere in the Pacific, and an American Carrier Strike Group is under
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attack.
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Enemy attack submarines have penetrated the outermost defensive layer, but aren't within
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striking range yet.
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The group's two accompanying attack subs and the carrier's anti-submarine warfare aircraft
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are busy pinpointing and destroying the small fleet of enemy subs.
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It's easy work, the Chinese subs are loud and not nearly as sophisticated as the American's,
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but there's a lot of them.
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And to make matters worse, they're carrying a brand new type of weapon.
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The Chinese subs finally get within weapons range and with a loud rush of bubbles, discharge
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several surface-attack missiles each from their torpedo tubes.
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The noise alerts the Americans to their precise location, but that doesn't matter anymore,
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as the Chinese subs quickly cut and run after launching their deadly payloads.
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Moments later, the torpedo-tube launched surface-attack missiles pop to the surface where their rocket
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motors fire, sending them screaming up into the sky.
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In seconds they're already hitting several thousand feet in altitude.
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Inside the Combat Information Center of the two defensive American AEGIS cruisers, the
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Tactical Action Officer- Air, calls out the missile attack- eighteen Vipers are in the
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air and headed for the battle group.
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The battle link that electronically connects the entire battle group together works to
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immediately train all available air defenses on the incoming missiles.
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The Chinese missiles have risen to about ten thousand feet, then activated their onboard
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radars to locate the American fleet.
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Aligning themselves with the battle group, the missiles immediately dive down to just
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fifty feet off the breaking waves.
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Now they fire their engines in full burn, hitting an incredible 11,000 mph (17,700 kmh),
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or Mach 14.5.
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Over a hundred miles away, the incoming vipers will reach the battlegroup in less than ten
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seconds.
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The AEGIS battle system sends out powerful pulses of radar to track each incoming viper,
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then activates a second, higher precision radar to provide fine-tuned precision guidance
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to a salvo of interceptors.
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Acquisition and firing takes up to five seconds- leaving only four seconds to intercept each
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incoming missile.
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But there's a problem.
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The Chinese missiles are so fast that they're building up a layer of superheated plasma
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around the front of the missile body, scrambling incoming radar waves.
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The American AEGIS system can't get an accurate lock, and the intercepting missiles are largely
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ineffective.
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Out of 18 incoming vipers, 16 of them survive- and there's no time for a second intercept.
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The battlegroups CIWS (see-whiz) weapons have already been trained on the incoming threat
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and begin firing tungsten rounds at thousands of rounds a second.
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But the radar-mounted guns are having the same problem that the AEGIS system had, the
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plasma around each missile is making it almost impossible to get an accurate radar lock.
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Two more missiles are destroyed, fourteen remain.
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In the blink of an eye, the carrier receives a direct hit from five Chinese missiles, blowing
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giant holes in the side of the ship and setting off secondary explosions from jet fuel and
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munitions.
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The submarine-launched missiles are too small to sink the mighty carrier, but it will be
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forced to limp back to the US for repairs, and several hundred sailors are dead.
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The carrier and its entire air wing are effectively out of the war.
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An accompanying destroyer and the two attending AEGIS cruisers aren't so lucky, and two of
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them suffer enough catastrophic damage that they begin to sink.
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For the first time in half a century, the American Navy has lost a ship in combat against
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a foreign adversary.
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The battlegroup is severely damaged by the attack, at the loss of just three Chinese
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submarines.
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The entire carrier strike group has just been rendered combat ineffective, and most of the
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men, ships, and weapons that make up one of the greatest concentrations of firepower on
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earth have all been put out of the war indefinitely.
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The above scenario is clearly fiction, and yet it is very soon to be a reality for the
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United States Navy.
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A new arms race is overcoming the world, and for the first time in modern history, the
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United States is coming at dead last.
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Hypersonic missiles are missiles that travel above Mach 5, and can reach speeds as high
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as Mach 15 or even 20, and they are currently a threat that no military in the world can
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defend from.
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Thought of as indefensible, hypersonic missiles have the potential to render the United State's
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greatest asset- its carrier battle groups, completely obsolete, and the worst part is:
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the US has none of its own right now to retaliate with.
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Weapons have been going hypersonic for a long time.
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Ballistic missiles after all typically clear the atmosphere and on the way back down to
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their target will go hypersonic.
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The Chinese and Russians both have been threatening American carrier groups for decades with ballistic
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missiles, so what's the big deal with new hypersonic weapons and how are they becoming
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a game changer?
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Well, traditional ballistic missiles do indeed move very fast, but they also are not very
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maneuverable in their hypersonic phase.
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Simple materials science has prevented ballistic missiles from being able to maneuver very
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well as they descend on their target at thousands of miles an hour, after all attempting to
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do so on such a big structure would immediately destroy it from the stress placed on the body
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of the missile by the extreme speed and wind resistance.
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The wind resistance also heats the skin of the missile up to incredible temperatures,
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necessitating the use of a heat shield on any missile that wants to survive to hit its
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target.
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It's not very efficient to coat the entire body of a missile with a heat shield, so if
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a ballistic missile were to turn in its flight and expose part of its unprotected body to
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the superheated air, it would immediately disintegrate.
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Because they can't maneuver very much, ballistic missiles are extremely predictable and easy
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to defend against, but new hypersonic weapons are overcoming the problem of maneuverability
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with new materials and engines.
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This means that modern weapons can now perform evasive maneuvers to throw off incoming interceptors,
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or to simply swing around a target and attack from an unexpected angle.
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Speed is another way of protecting hypersonic missiles from interceptors, as the missiles
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simply move too fast to be effectively engaged by traditional anti-missile systems.
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An AEGIS system for example can track a conventional missile attack at hundreds of miles away,
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and give at minimum a thirty second window for engagement.
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In those thirty seconds, AEGIS can launch as many as three waves of interceptors against
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conventional missiles- against hypersonic missiles that move at Mach 5 or above, AEGIS
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may only get as many as two attempts to engage.
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If the missiles hit the mind boggling speed of Mach 14 like in our opening scenario, AEGIS
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will get one single chance to intercept.
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At those speeds, even CIWS, or Close-in Weapon Systems, won't get more than a second or two
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to engage.
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Speed however creates another problem for defensive systems.
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The incredible speeds can build up a layer of superheated plasma around the missile,
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which can scatter incoming radar waves.
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As every anti-missile system in operation uses very high frequency radar for terminal
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guidance on interceptors, this could confuse that radar or render it completely ineffective.
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While the United States was focusing its efforts on Iraq and Afghanistan, Russia and China
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both began development on hypersonic weapons programs.
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Both nations have a vested interest in the technology, as both nations have one big problem-
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the United States Navy.
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Unless the US Navy, and specifically its carriers, can be neutralized, then Russia and China
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are largely helpless to launch any kind of military offensive anywhere in the world.
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As American naval officer Alfred Thayer Mahan famously said, “He who rules the waves rules
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the world”.
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For a long time, Russia and China both relied on traditional ballistic missiles and large,
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extremely long-range cruise missiles to attempt to threaten American carrier battlegroups.
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In response, the United States developed the world's most sophisticated ship-borne anti-missile
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system, AEGIS, and America's confidence in its ability to protect its carriers was so
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great, that in Cold War war plans against the Soviet Union, American carriers played
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a key role in coastal operations against the Soviet Union directly.
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In the modern age, not much has changed, and the US remains confident it can operate carriers
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in the South China Sea, directly under the threat of Chinese ballistic missile submarines
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and land-based missile forces.
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To overcome American missile defenses, work began in the mid 2000s on hypersonic weapons
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that were simply too fast and too maneuverable for missile defense systems to effectively
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defeat.
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With the US's attention focused on the war on terror, both Russia and China made significant
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strides in this area of research, and in the early 2010s Russian testing of hypersonic
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weapons shocked the American defense industry.
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President Barack Obama immediately ordered a start on a hypersonic weapons program, along
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with a concurrent hypersonic missile defense program that would explore how to protect
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from these weapons.
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While the US has made serious strides in catching up in this vital area of future warfighting,
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it still remains behind.
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To make matters worse, Russia now has a hypersonic ballistic missile of its own that's allegedly
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fully operational, the Avangard missile.
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The missile boosts into space like a regular missile, but then detaches a glide vehicle
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that's extremely maneuverable and can reach hypersonic speeds on its descent to earth.
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Currently, no defense system can protect from it.
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Advances in scramjet technology are also leading to the development of ship, plane, and even
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submarine launched hypersonic anti-ship missiles to be used in the Russian and Chinese fleets.
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These weapons don't have the benefit of using the earth's gravity to boost to hypersonic
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speeds as they plunge from space, so they use a conventional rocket motor to reach Mach
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3 and then activate a scramjet to push through the hypersonic barrier.
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While the deployment of large numbers of these weapons is still a ways away, the Russians
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already have a plane-mounted hypersonic missile that could theoretically be used against American
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ships today.
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All however may not be lost for the American navy.
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They say necessity is the mother of invention, and the US desperately needs a way to protect
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its critical surface ships- specially carriers- from hypersonic attack.
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For a few years now, the US Navy has been developing a way to protect its ships from
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hypersonic missiles, and it believes it may have found an answer.
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The Regional Glide Phase Weapon System- or RGPWS- is set to be loaded onto Arleigh-Burke
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class destroyers, and makes use of the Mk 41 vertical launch tubes already equipped
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on those vessels.
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That means that once operational, RGPWS will be very quickly proliferated across the US
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fleet, ensuring protection against hypersonic weapons for US ships.
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But what exactly is RGPWS?
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Well, nobody is really sure, and the Department of Defense is keeping an extremely tight lid
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on the program.
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All anyone knows is that it is supposed to be able to protect from hypersonic ballistic
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missiles over a regional area- or several thousand square miles- but it will likely
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not be of much use against atmospheric anti-ship missiles.
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Hypersonic missiles are changing the way that America is thinking about its own warfighting
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future, with many congressmen and women already calling for a rethink of the US's traditional
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strategy of investing heavily into massive supercarriers to maintain naval dominance.
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If a multi-billion dollar carrier can be destroyed by a multi-million dollar weapon, it would
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spell financial and military disaster for the US military.
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While no feasible defenses are yet on the table, the US is at least rapidly catching
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up to China and Russia in the development of hypersonic offensive weapons.
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Currently, the Navy is expecting to have offensive hypersonic missiles on its ships by 2023,
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and on its submarines by 2024.
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The Air Force is looking to have an air-launched variant by 2022, and the Army wants a mobile
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ground platform by 2023.
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While how hypersonic weapons will affect the future of war exactly is unclear, what is
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clear is that this is one arms race the US can't afford to lose.
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Now check out American vs Chinese Soldiers- how do they compare.
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Or check out this other video instead!