Subtitles section Play video
-
It's a rumble in the jungle, a showdown on the 38th parallel. The hermit kingdom of North Korea
-
versus the United States of America. Kim Jong Un vs... well, we're not sure who really because
-
this script was written before the presidential election. It's the American bald eagle versus
-
the North Korean... trash pigeon?... doesn't really seem like North Korea has an official
-
national animal. It's a showdown the world's been expecting for decades, but how do these
-
two antagonist powers stack up? Who really has the advantage in a showdown on the Korean Peninsula?
-
For this scenario let's compare the two countries alone, and without the help of allies,
-
to see how they really measure up against each other. Overall the United States is ranked as
-
the world's number 1 military power, and currently the only global superpower.
-
It's a common mistake to call Russia or China superpowers, but the definition of a superpower
-
is a state that can exert economic, cultural, and military influence worldwide. Currently,
-
the US is the only nation with the military fleets and cultural/economic clout to do so.
-
North Korea is no slouch though in the military department, and despite being
-
a financially destitute hermit kingdom, it's managed to field a military that places it at
-
the number 25 spot in global rankings. This is because most of the official budget of the North
-
Korean government goes to its military, and the military also receives hundreds
-
of millions in covert financing, typically the result of state-sponsored criminal enterprises.
-
In terms of manpower, the United States fields an active duty force of 1.4 million personnel,
-
versus North Korea's 1.28 million. The US also fields a greater force of reservists,
-
with 860,000 personnel vs North Korea's reserve force of 600,000. The US barely has the numbers
-
advantage here, but in a grueling multi-year conflict, the US has the population advantage,
-
with 4.2 million reaching service age every year versus North Korea's measely 415,000.
-
If North Korea wants to win, clearly it has to secure victory as quickly as possible.
-
Wars cost money though, and turns out it's an extremely expensive affair.
-
The latest US defense budget is about $750 billion, versus North Korea's 1.6 billion.
-
This ofcourse is only the official government figure, and North Korea's real defense budget
-
is easily hundreds of millions greater thanks to all that black market activity- remember kids,
-
doing drugs may seem tubular, but you're just helping north korea go nuclear.
-
But let's check out all the toys that those big budgets buy.
-
In the air the US fields 13,264 aircraft, versus North Korea's 949.
-
Not only is there a massive numbers disparity, but a huge disparity in capabilities as well.
-
The US currently relies on the F-15 Eagle, and the F-18 Superhornet as its primary air defense
-
and air attack platforms. These two aircraft are 4th generation models, but have received serious
-
upgrades to their capabilities which boost them into a 4.5th generation capability. Complimenting
-
US fighter forces are 187 F-22s, the world's only fully operational 5th generation fighter
-
and officially the world's deadliest fighter aircraft. As more and more F-35s come online
-
however and achieve initial operational capability status, the entire US fighter
-
fleet is poised to become fully 5th generation, a significant battlefield advantage against any foe.
-
North Korean air forces are decades behind the US in capability. It's most numerous fighter
-
aircraft, the Chengdu J-7, was developed in the 1960s and exported by China. It's most capable
-
aircraft, the Mig-29, was developed in the 1970s as a counter to the American F-15- however North
-
Korea's Mig 29s number at only 35, and it's believed that they lack anything resembling
-
modern avionics. To make matters worse, North Korea's entire inventory of air-to-air missiles
-
herald back to the Cold War, and the nation possesses less than 500 of them.
-
An air battle between the US and North Korea would be hopeless for the hermit kingdom, which is why
-
its pilots are trained in kamikaze tactics. If war were to break out, North Korea's air force would
-
launch one-way attacks across the DMZ, knowing its air force could never survive an air war.
-
In the mountainous terrain of North Korea, perhaps no aircraft is more important however
-
than the attack helicopter. Capable of taking out armored forces and providing recon and fire
-
support in places regular aircraft would find it difficult to operate, attack helicopters
-
would be of paramount importance in a showdown between the two countries. The United States
-
fields an inventory of 967 Apache helicopters, one of the deadliest attack helos ever built.
-
Not only is each Apache equipped with state of the art electronics and sensors,
-
but these agile birds are extremely tough to boot. When an entire flight of Apaches
-
was ambushed in a protracted battle against insurgents on the ground in Afghanistan,
-
the US famously only lost a single bird while decimating ground forces below them.
-
North Korea's 20 attack helos are Soviet-built Mig-24 'Hinds', an extremely capable attack
-
helicopter that despite being dated, still packs an impressive punch. Good thing for US ground
-
forces that North Korea only operates a small amount of these powerful Russian birds of prey.
-
On the ground, North Korea is almost neck and neck with the US in terms of armored forces.
-
With 6,045 combat tanks versus the US's 6,289, the two tank armies are almost evenly matched in
-
terms of numbers. In terms of quality though, well, North Korea once more suffers greatly.
-
North Korea's most formidable tank is a native upgrade to the Soviet T-62 known
-
as Ch'ŏnma-ho. With the T-62 being North Korea's most numerous, nearly modern design, large numbers
-
of them were upgraded with new armor, fire and sighting systems, and other sensors. In effect,
-
these may be upgraded designs, but the core model is still the 1960's era T-62. It's known
-
that North Korea operates at least 1,000 of these tanks, but may have upwards of 1,200.
-
North Korea's second most prolific tank is the T-54 and T-55,
-
of which it operates 2,000. These dated, underpowered tanks were terrifying when
-
first fielded by the Soviet Union in the 50s, but as Iraq found out in the first gulf war,
-
present absolutely zero threat to the US's modern Abrams. On the ground,
-
North Korea's tank forces simply could not hope to do more than delay an American armored advance.
-
One area where North Korea rises above the US though is in the size of its rocket artillery
-
forces, fielding 2,110 versus the US's 1,366. Rocket artillery may not have the endurance of
-
fire of traditional artillery, but provides one extremely crucial advantage over regular
-
artillery- by firing all of its munitions in extremely rapid succession, rocket artillery puts
-
all of its steel on target within seconds, giving troops and vehicles little time to seek cover.
-
While the US fields more modern versions of rocket projectors, the technology is so simple that even
-
North Korea's soviet-era technology poses a significant and deadly threat to US forces.
-
On the seas, the US fields a fleet of 490 ships versus North Korea's 984.
-
North Korea may seem to have the advantage in numbers, but that's
-
because the vast majority of its ships are small torpedo boats that can't operate far
-
from shore. The second largest element of North Korea's navy is its underwater forces,
-
with one of the world's largest submarine forces numbering anywhere between 60 to 80.
-
40 of these subs are the medium- sized diesel electric Sang-O class,
-
built in the late 90s. While not particularly advanced versus the US Navy's Los Angeles and
-
Virginia class nuclear submarines, diesel-electric submarines used in a defensive posture close
-
to shore can be an incredibly effective force, even if technologically outclassed.
-
By loitering near the shore and running silently on battery power,
-
North Korea could simply choose to have these subs lie in wait for oncoming US
-
ships and launch deadly ambushes. The nation's willingness to operate these craft in a kamikaze
-
style similar to its air force only adds to the deadliness of North Korea's submarine force.
-
By comparison the US operates 66 submarines, most of which are Los Angeles class attack submarines.
-
These are in the process of being phased out by the new Virginia class, which incorporates
-
many of the Seawolf class technologies at a lower cost- and thus with less effectiveness
-
than the deadly Seawolf, which is sadly far too expensive to field in large numbers.
-
3 of the legendary Seawolf class submarines remain in service with the Navy, with no
-
near-term plans to retire them, though the Navy is planning on acquiring a new
-
modern variant of the Seawolf to use on extremely important or sensitive missions.
-
With 20 aircraft carriers, which includes smaller carriers meant to support amphibious operations,
-
the US is guaranteed to have air power anywhere in the world it needs it. By comparison North Korea
-
has zero aircraft carriers, and could not hope to ever operate one in its current economic climate-
-
let alone ensure it survives first contact against US forces.
-
Despite all of these naval advantages to the US though, North Korea once more has
-
the advantage in one area: mine warfare. With 23 vessels specially equipped to mine sea lanes,
-
versus the US's 11, North Korea is poised to make an amphibious attack against it by the
-
superior US fleet a costly affair in terms of manpower and equipment. Clearing sea mines is
-
an extremely time consuming and dangerous affair, and with so many mine-laying ships
-
North Korea could make entire beaches and ports completely inaccessible to US forces.
-
The military advantage is clearly in favor of the United States, but a showdown between the
-
two countries is far more nuanced than merely comparing numbers. The US must maintain global
-
commitments even during a war, meaning that it wouldn't be able to commit more than 30-40% of its
-
total force to a conflict with North Korea. That brings the number parity way down on the US side,
-
though the US's far superior equipment and training, or force multipliers, practically ensure
-
a US victory. However, it would be an extremely costly victory for the US and its allies,
-
as North Korea is well prepared to make a push north from South Korea an exceedingly bloody
-
affair. With its mine laying capabilities, the North Korean navy could make the ocean
-
around the Korean peninsula inaccessible for weeks, disrupting not just military operations
-
but civilian traffic as well and shutting down one of the busiest trade arteries in the world.
-
Then there's North Korea's nuclear program, the full extent of which is still not known.
-
What is clear is that North Korea has the materials and technology for several bombs-
-
some estimates place the current North Korean stockpile at 30-40 weapons. Even though most
-
of these weapons couldn't reach the US mainland, they would make any conflict on the peninsula an
-
extremely dangerous affair- with a losing Kim Jong Un likely to decide to use nuclear weapons against
-
US forces and South Korea rather than be deposed as so many dictators before him.
-
Now go check out Weird Things That Only Exist in North Korea, or this other video instead!