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Forex or foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world – larger
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even than the stock market, with a daily volume of over $5 trillion. Imagine if you
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could get a tiny slice of that market, that would equal millions if not billions of dollars.
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Forex market is as old as money itself, maybe not in the form we know it today but it did.
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Under almost every video we upload, there are at least a few comments about people claiming
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that they have made a fortune trading in the foreign exchange market, usually, they are
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directly recognized as spams, but sometimes they do get published.
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Here in this video, we will find out if you really can make money trading in the forex
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market? But to figure that out, we have to understand
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a few key concepts first? What is the forex market, and how exactly
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does it works? What the three main ways traders use to make
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money? And finally, why most people end up getting scammed?
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Hey proactive thinkers, if you want to support this channel and help us make more videos
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and want your name at the end of the next video, make sure to check out our Patreon
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page. In fact, I will be posting weekly updates about the market or sometimes I will pick
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up a company and analyze it and figure out if its a good investment or not. So if you
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are interested in all of that, then make sure you check out our Patreon page.
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 And now let's get into it!
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2. Forex For dummies
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When we talk about globalization, we mention things such as tourism, international fights,
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shipping, but we often ignore the role of financial institutions in making that happen.
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In fact, without Forex, international trade is impossible.
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Since the existence of money, every country had its own currency, even when gold was the
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currency of the world. Not all gold coins were equal; some were made out of quality
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gold. Others were mixed with other kinds of metal. Hence, merchants always had the problem
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of measuring the value of different currencies.
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Fast forward to today, even when we created paper currencies and completely demolished
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the gold standard, that problem didn't suddenly vanish. In fact, it became even more complicated
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since each country created its own currency. Currently, there are 180 currencies all around
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the world.
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Let's say you live in the United States, and since its summer, you decide to visit your
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northern neighbor - Canada. You can't simply use your US dollars there,
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you have to buy Canadian dollars, and only with them, you can pay for goods and services
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in Canada. If let's say hypothetically one US dollar is equal to 1 Canadian dollar, using
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hundred dollars, you will buy 100 Canadian dollars. But if you look at the real world,
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1 US dollar is equal to 1.36 Canadian dollars which means using 100 USD dollars, you can
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buy 136 Canadian dollars.
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Apple can't simply hire Chinese workers and pay them in dollars to manufacture your iPhone.
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They can only pay them in Chinese yuan, that's why they have to buy yuans first.
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And if they need to buy LCD screens for their latest flagship from Samsung, they have to
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purchase south Korean won to pay for these screens.
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And guess where all of these currency transactions take place. Exactly, the foreign exchange
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market or Forex in short.
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3 . Can you really make money by trading money?
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The year 1996 saw the first generation of forex online trading platforms. The Internet
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made forex trading so accessible that it became mainstream, exactly like the Internet made
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it easy to invest in the stock market.
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There are essentially three ways to profit in the forex market. The most popular is probably
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"the spot market", it's just a fancy word for a transaction with immediate delivery
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such when you buy gold, for example, you don't wait to receive it some time in the future
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like future contracts but rather own it immediately, but in this case, we are talking about currencies.
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Currencies fluctuate all the time, and if you end up guessing right when a certain currency
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rises in value as you do with stocks, you make a profit.
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At the end of the day, the currency is like any other commodity that's driven by demand
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and supply. Let's say for the sake of example, one US dollar equals to 2 Chinese Yuan, if
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demand for Chinese Yuan rises or in other words, if more people decide to buy the Chinese
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Yuan because, I don't know, they have set up factories in China, now they have to pay
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their employees. The value of the Chinese Yuan will increase, so 1 US dollar will no
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longer be equal to 2 Yuan but rather to 1.5 yuan.
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Of course it's an extreme oversimplification, but that's how it works in short.
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The number of factors that can influence the demand for a certain currency are so many
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that we can't cover all even if this video is going to be an hour long, so lets take
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a look at a few important ones.
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The economic performance or the political situation can influence the demand for a certain
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currency or the perception about the future of the economy.
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In June 2014, a single British pound equaled to 1.7 US dollars but then rumours spread
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that UK might leave the EU. That scared off a lot of investors, so they pulled out their
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investments, and the demand for British pound slowly began to fall. Today with one British
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pound, you can buy 1.25 US dollars.
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Or take an example of China. For the last 20 years, the Chinese economy was growing
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at an unbelievable rate; more and more business shifted their manufacturing to China. As a
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result of that, the Chinese yuan kept rising in value against other currencies such as
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the US dollar.
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Traders in the forex analyze the market and speculate about the future of a particular
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currency. If they expect it to rise, they buy a lot of it, hold it till the price rises
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and then sell it, exactly as you trade stocks. But what makes this market much more lucrative
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is that brokers often provide to their clients unbelievable leverage. Leverage ratios 1:100
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are very common in the forex market. That means that, if you trade using your thousand
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dollars, you can hold a position worth a hundred thousand dollars. If you end up making a small
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percentage in profit, it will be huge.
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On the other side, there are futures and forward contracts. They aren't really common among
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the traders. They are more often used by multi-national corporations.
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Let's say company A that's based in the USA wants to sell t-shirts in the United States.
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Say the t-shirt costs 10 Mexican pesos to produce in Mexico and company A wants to sell
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it for 15 dollars. And lets say hypothetically one US dollar equals to 1 Mexican peso.
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In this case, company A should make 5 dollars in profit for each t-shirt sold. But what
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if by the time the Mexican firm manufactures all the t-shirts and delivers them to company
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A, the Mexican peso rises in value where lets say 1 Peso equals to 2 US dollars. So a single
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t-shirt would cost now 20 dollars and company A will make a loss if it sells them at 15
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dollars each.
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To prevent such things from happening or any other risk of price fluctuations, companies
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often buy futures contracts to fix the rate at which the transaction will be completed.
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And if you want to buy cool t-shirts where you don't have to deal with any kind of price
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fluctuations, you can visit our store. Finally, we have launched our merch—T-shirts, hoodies,
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phone cases with beautiful designs that you will definitely love. So make sure you check
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out our store. And did I tell you that you will be supporting our channel to make more
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similar videos? The link will be in the description.
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4. The problem with forex trading - Forex - the market for losers
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Unlike the stock market, where you can analyse a certain company. Figure out if it's undervalued
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or overvalued and make a rational decision that at least in the long run will payback.
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Forex is different, its more like speculation. There are simply too many factors that influence
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a certain currency from tourism to geopolitical risks, which makes the market even more volatile.
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In fact, the major players are the banks that trade among each other in huge volumes that
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could easily crush you no matter how big is your capital.
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So its common for amateurs to easily lose
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their position when they aren't well educated about the market. They can get emotional and
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make a wrong move.
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In some countries, the forex market is entirely unregulated, which makes it even riskier.
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A lot of brokers aren't trustworthy and can mislead their customers by betting against
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them, for example.
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Remember the unbelievable leverage you can get in the forex market we talked about earlier.
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Well, there is a downside to it. Many brokerage firms went bankrupt due to lousy leverage
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decisions. So if your position loses value to a point where you no longer meet minimum
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margin requirements, your broker will liquidate assets to help assure that you don't lose
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more money than you put into the account. Beginner traders who are new to the game often
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make this mistake and quickly lose their capital.
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It's not to say that anyone who trades in Forex loses, but risks are extremely high.
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If you guys have enjoyed this video, make sure to give it a thumbs up. And if you want
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to see more similar videos, then hit that subscribe button and the bell besides it and
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don't forget to checkout our Patreon page to support us to make more similar videos.
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Thanks for watching and until next time.