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AI
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The concept of AI, it's something that I think we're all familiar with
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Thanks to numerous amount of TV shows, movies and novels
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For me, personally I find this to be sort of a tired
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concept at this point. You've just seen it so many times in sci-fi.
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And especially the idea that AI is going to take over.
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We've seen in it "Terminator"
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But I've also seen this in some of my favorite work of fiction like "A Space Odyssey"
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"Open the pod bay doors, HAL."
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"I'm sorry Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that."
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Some of my favorite novels like, "I Have No Mouth And I Must Scream". Don't get me wrong.
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I find it a very interesting concept, even though it's overused, but
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when Stephen Hawking, in 2014 came out and said,
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"But I think the development of full artificial intelligence could spell the end of the human race,"
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My mind sort of went "Pfft, Stephen Hawkins, what do you know about anything? Okay?"
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"Do you watch Rick and Morty? Because, I do,
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and I think I have a little better grasp of the universe concept ideas, like AI.
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Thank you very much, Stephen.
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But, uh, stick to your science stuff, all right?"
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The concept of AI taking over... It feels so far off, because it seems so... obscure.
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The way, it's portrayed in Hollywood movies or in the work of fiction.
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But in reality, it's actually...
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I think, or from what I've learned, an actual threat.
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The idea that Johnny Depp could come back and kill us all, is not as far away as we think.
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*scenes from the movie "Transcendence"*
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But how did we come to this conclusion?
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I'm going to try to explain, okay?
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But I truly don't know shit what I'm talking about, so please...
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If we take it back a couple steps, a lot of couple steps, uh...
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There's this game of tic-tac-toe, that I found.
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That, no matter what input you make, the computer will never let you win.
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It's kind of fucking annoying.
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It's programmed with algorithms,
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So that, no matter what move I make,
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it knows exactly what move to counter it to make sure that I can't win, no matter what.
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Not a big deal, not a big deal. Okay?
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In 1958, A.H. Simon and Allen Newell, AI experts...
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But, what if you take a more complex game than tic-tac-toe?
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Say... chess for example?
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There's a lot more possible outcomes in that game.
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Foresaw, that within ten years,
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a digital computer will beat the world's best chess champion.
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Now, it didn't take ten years. Not until 1997.
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You may have heard of this.
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It was quite the big deal at the time.
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Deep Blue became the first computer that was able to beat the reigning chess champion at the time, Kasparov.
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"But it's clear that the computer will reliably do what he himself would do,
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and he recognizes, that he has already lost.
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On Deep Blue's 19th move, the champion resigns."
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Now, it still doesn't seem like that big of a deal,
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and basically the way Deep Blue worked was,
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that it would scan
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every single possible outcome it could make,
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about 200,000 per second.
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And it would make the best decision
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based on what he could find through this method of scanning.
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At this point, I'm still like Stephen Hawking ...
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I've seen the videos of the machines falling over, okay?
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I think we have nothing to worry about.
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But here's where I think it gets interesting.
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In March 15, 2016,
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The champion of the Chinese board game "go",
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was beaten by an AI.
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"Against AlphaGo,
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the artificial intelligence, designed by Google's DeepMind.
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It was a resounding loss. They had won only one game.
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'AlphaGo wins! We landed it on the moon. So proud of the team! Respect to the amazing Lee Sedol too.' "
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Now, the reason why this is such a big deal is that
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in chess, you only have so many options.
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But in go,
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there are so many different moves that you can make,
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there are more possible moves that you can make than there are atoms in the universe
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and there's just no way
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that you're going to be able to compute that amount of options,
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to figure out what's the best move to make.
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So how did they make this?
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It may not seem like that big of a deal, either?
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But it's really cool. Okay? It's really cool.
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It basically uses deep reinforcement learning.
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Which is similar to how we learn as humans.
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Through trial and error,
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reward and punishment,
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and raw inputs.
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Say, if we see something ourselves,
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the computer figure learns itself,
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how to become good at the game.
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Not too long ago,
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there was a viral video of-
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From SethBling, that uses method
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to teach a computer to play Mario.
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And it became really fucking good at it.
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REALLY good at it.
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Look at that.
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Basically, it uses neural networks
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to learn how to play the game.
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Which is similar to how we think as human beings
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And with enough computing power,
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you could simulate a human brain, in this way.
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But we're not there yet.
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But it wasn't good from the beginning,
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it had to learn how to get good.
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GIT GUD.
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In the beginning, it doesn't even know where it has to go
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or what the option is
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or what Mario is.
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But eventually, it figures out it needs to move right,
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but through different generations and learning
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and from trial and error
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and adapting from these mistakes,
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It eventually, becomes better and better.
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And the similar method was used for the AlphaGo.
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Program where it would train against itself.
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Slowly becoming better and better and better
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and eventually a master at the game.
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There's a super cool video,
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about a robot that doesn't know
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that it has limbs
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But it teaches itself how to walk, despite of this.
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So it's just doing random movements.
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It sort of figures out it has four limbs.
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But it doesn't know where those limbs on its body is attached.
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And by trial and error,
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it eventually figures out where its limbs are positioned.
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And eventually,
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it can very graciously move across.
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That's cool.
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Self learning AI is really fucking cool.
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And there's a lot of advantages that you can do from this.
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Using it in design, for example.
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"This is a 3D printed cabin partition
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that's been designed by a computer.
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It's stronger than the original yet half the weight.
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And it'll be flying in the Airbus A320, later this year.
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So, computers can now generate, they can come up with their own solutions
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to our well-defined problems."
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So then, with Elon Musk as well as Stephen Hawking saying
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AI could become a problem in the future,
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that idea starts to sort of make more sense to me
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knowing this is how it works.
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"I think we should be very careful about artificial intelligence.
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If I would guess at what our biggest existential threat is,
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it's probably that."
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Elon Musk as well as Bill Gates
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chiming in as well, with the same idea.
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But the basic point that Elon has made...
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we have a general purpose learning the algorithm that evolution has endowed us with.
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And it's running in an extremely slow computer.
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Very limited memory size,
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ability to send data to other computers we have to use this funny mouth thing here...
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...whenever we build a new one it starts over, it doesn't know how to walk.
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So believe me, as soon as this algorithm-
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taking experience and turning it into knowledge-
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Which is so amazing and which we have not done in software.
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As soon as you do that, it's not clear you'll even know when you're just at the human level.
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You'll be at the superhuman level almost as soon as that algorithm is implanted, in silicon.
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Bill basically here, compares how our brains as a computer,
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our method of evolving is very inefficient with-
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comparing it to how AI would be evolving
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and exponentially growing.
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And knowing, keeping that in mind,
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humans are inferior.
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Without a doubt.
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That being said,
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not everyone is on board with this idea that AI is going to take over
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or that it's a problem for the future.
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"What are your thoughts on AI and how it could affect the world?
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You know, I have pretty strong opinions on this.
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I'm really optimistic. Well, I'm an optimistic person in general.
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I think you can build things and the world gets better, but
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with AI especially, I'm really optimistic.
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And I think that people who are naysayers
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and kind of try to drum up these doomsday scenarios are...
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I just I don't understand it. I think it's really negative and
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in some ways, I actually think it's pretty irresponsible."
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Elon Musk responding on Twitter:
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"I've talked to Mark about this. His understanding of the subject is limited."
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I love Mark Zuckerberg, obviously.
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I love the 'zucc' more than anyone.
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It's kind of hard to take him seriously on the subject.
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Especially, since he clearly is trying to make an AI himself.
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"Good morning Mark. It's Saturday. So you only have five meetings.
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Room temperature is set to a cool, 68 degrees."
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I guess what Mark is saying is,
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AI can do a lot for us as humans, it can benefit us greatly.
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And I think what Elon points out is that,
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there are dangers involved with the development on this
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and we need to be careful.
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How can we protect ourselves from ourselves?
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"We are an intelligent adversary.
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We can anticipate threats and plan around them.
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But, so could an super intelligent agent.
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How confident could it be that
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the AI couldn't find a bug.
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Like, given that merely human hackers find bugs all the time.
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I'd say, probably not very confident.
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Like, disconnect the Internet cable to create an air gap.
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But again, like merely human hackers routinely transgress air gaps,
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using social engineering.
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Like right now, as I speak,
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I'm sure there is some employee out there somewhere,
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who is being talked into handing out her account details
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by somebody claiming to be from the IT Department.
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We should not be confident in our ability
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to keep a super intelligent genie locked up in its bottle forever.
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I'm actually fairly optimistic that this problem can be solved.
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Like, we wouldn't have to try
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to write down the long list of everything we care about.
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Or worse yet,
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spell it out in some computer language, like C++ or Python like that.
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That would be a task beyond hopeless.
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Instead, we would create an AI,
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that uses these intelligence to learn what we value.
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And his motivation system is constructed in such a way,
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that it is motivated to pursue our values or,
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to perform actions that it predicts that we would have approved of."
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Computers smarter than human beings is inevitable,
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if you keep in mind how short we have even had technology
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and our presence in the universe.
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Now, whether AI will be something good
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or destroy us all in the future,
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that's just for us to find out.
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Meanwhile, you're going to have to excuse me
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because I have some Rick and Morty episodes to catch up on.
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I hope this video was educational.
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And I hope, I didn't say any wrong things.
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Because I sure am no expert!
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Thank you for leaving a like on this video, if you enjoyed. I really appreciate it.
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Make sure to 'zuccscribe'.
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And as always, squad fam out.