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Welcome to week five of Washington DC's
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official coronavirus lockdown, though most of us
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have now been working from home for the best
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part of two months.
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The topic occupying a lot of people's minds
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in the city this week is Donald Trump's reputation.
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After a tumultuous week last week in which he appeared
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to suggest injecting antiseptic might be a treatment
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for the virus, before then insisting that he was being
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sarcastic, the president this weekend abruptly cancelled his
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daily media appearances.
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The Washington Post reported that this
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was because he had been presented with polling evidence
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showing that he was slipping in the polls
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and falling behind his rival Joe Biden in certain key swing
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states.
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His advisers apparently had told him
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that his occasionally erratic media
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performances were to blame.
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Well, it is certainly true that Donald Trump's rating
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has fallen in recent weeks after a bump
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during the initial phases of the outbreak.
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But then the same is true for pretty much every major world
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democratic leader.
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Countries across the world have rallied
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behind their governments in the early stages of this crisis,
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before then asking slightly tougher policy
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questions about those governments responses
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in recent weeks.
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The remarkable thing for Donald Trump
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is how stable his approval ratings have remained
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throughout all of this.
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In fact, his approval rating has remained
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within a band of 35 per cent to 45 per cent
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for pretty much the entirety of his presidency.
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Compare that with Boris Johnson, for example,
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whose approval ratings started off this year at around 48
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per cent before soaring to 66 per cent just a few weeks ago
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and then drifting slightly to 60 per cent.
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What that tells me about Donald Trump
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is that pretty much most Americans have made up
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their minds about him.
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Just under half like him.
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Just over half dislike him.
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That really hasn't changed throughout everything -
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throughout the Russia allegations,
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throughout the impeachment inquiry,
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and now throughout the coronavirus outbreak.
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That doesn't, however, mean that he is
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set to lose the next election.
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Remember that in 2016 he lost the popular vote to Hillary
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Clinton but won enough of those key swing states
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to beat her in the overall election.
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The same could happen this time around regardless
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of coronavirus.